Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report (14th Sep. 16) US inventories of crude oil fell last week as imports rebounded by less than expected after the previous week’s hurricane-related disruptions. On the other hand, stocks of gasoline and distillates... 14th September 2016 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Will economic pain prompt a shift in Saudi oil policy? The slowdown in Saudi Arabia’s economy has prompted the authorities to soften their opposition to a deal to freeze oil output. While a deal is more likely than it was earlier this year, there are... 14th September 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Watch OPEC’s past form points to disappointment in Algiers Speculation about a potential deal to freeze output at the unofficial OPEC meeting at the end of September has been largely responsible for the increase in oil prices over the past month. This Energy... 13th September 2016 · 1 min read
OPEC Watch OPEC pushes back market rebalancing OPEC production remained at near-record highs in August. What’s more, the group revised up its estimate of non-OPEC output for both this year and next. 12th September 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly A roller-coaster week for oil The price of oil has alternately surged and plunged this week, buffeted by a sharp (but probably temporary) fall in US stocks and speculation about prospects for supply. Indeed, stability in prices... 9th September 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report (8th Sep. 16) US crude stocks fell by the second largest amount on record last week. However, this was almost entirely due to a drop in imports which may rebound next week. 8th September 2016 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Saudi Arabia: revisiting the hit from lower oil prices Saudi Arabia’s upcoming Eurobond issuance has thrust the country’s finances back under the spotlight. Overall, the hit from lower oil prices has been significant – annual oil export revenues are down... 6th September 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update What to make of Russia and Saudi Arabia’s statement on oil The statement by Russia and Saudi Arabia earlier today that the two countries have agreed to work together to try to stabilise the oil market did very little to justify the almost 6% surge in oil... 5th September 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Prices get a payrolls boost A weaker-than-expected US employment report on Friday all but removed the prospect of a US interest rate rise this month, although we still think a hike is likely before the end of the year. The... 2nd September 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Taking stock of the EIA’s oil inventories report The gyrations in oil prices in response to the EIA’s weekly petroleum status report are rarely justified, since the biggest determinant of weekly changes in US stocks is variations in net crude... 2nd September 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Dollar strength weighs on commodities The prices of most commodities retreated in late August as the dollar strengthened on the back of renewed expectations that the Fed will raise rates this year. That said, activity data out of China... 1st September 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report - (31st Aug. 16) US distillate fuel and crude oil inventories rose again last week, the latter increase owing to higher net imports and an easing back of refiner demand. 31st August 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response GDP (Q2 2016) The 1.6% annualised decline in second-quarter GDP was worse than the 1.0% decline anticipated by the Bank of Canada in its July Monetary Policy Report. But Statistics Canada estimates that decline was... 31st August 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack Speculation fuels oil price rally The possibility of a new deal between OPEC and some major non-OPEC oil producers to limit supply in September has seen the oil price surge by about 20% this month. However, prices have already started... 31st August 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Norwegian GDP (Q2) The hit to Norway’s GDP growth from lower oil prices appears to be fading. Nevertheless, with growth still fairly slow and inflation set to fall sharply, we still expect the Norges Bank to loosen... 31st August 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Focus shifts to US payrolls Hawkish comments by some Fed officials and a slight strengthening of the US dollar ahead of Janet Yellen’s speech at Jackson Hole on Friday weighed on the prices of most commodities over the past week... 26th August 2016 · 1 min read