OPEC Watch OPEC production reaches another new record OPEC production reached a new record in July with the Gulf members showing no signs of wanting to limit output. What’s more, the group revised down their estimate of how much non-OPEC output should... 10th August 2016 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Angola: Gradual recovery after a painful adjustment Economic growth in Angola is grinding to a halt as the economy adjusts to lower oil prices. Growth will recover in 2017 and 2018, but more gradually than most expect. 9th August 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Talks of oil production freeze too little too late We are sceptical that renewed talks of a production freeze by OPEC and other large producers will lead to an actual deal. Even if there is an agreement this time round, we doubt that freezing output... 8th August 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report (3rd Aug. 16) Crude oil stocks rose last week, despite production falling and demand from refineries increasing. On the other hand, gasoline stocks fell sharply. 3rd August 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Oil prices more likely to rise than fall The recent falls in oil prices have raised concerns that the fuel could be entering a new bear market. However, we think that oil prices are more likely to rebound a little by the end of the year than... 2nd August 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Industrial metals steal the show A sharp downturn in oil prices dragged the broad commodities indices lower last month so that equities outperformed. That said, there were pockets of strength, with nearly all the industrial metals... 1st August 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly US dollar weakness supports prices Commodity prices generally drifted lower over the past week, although some support came later from a weaker US dollar. Indeed, the markets shrugged off disappointing US Q2 GDP data on Friday, given... 29th July 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response GDP by Industry (May) Monthly GDP fell by a bigger-than-feared 0.6% m/m in May, as the Alberta wildfires triggered a massive slump in oil sands production. 29th July 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Chart Pack The music stops for oil, but coal picks up the tune It has been a mixed bag for energy commodities this month, with oil and US natural gas prices falling back due to oversupply, a stronger dollar and cooler weather. On the other hand, coal prices... 29th July 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Data Response US Weekly Petroleum Status Report (27th Jul. 16) Increases in domestic production and net imports helped US crude stocks build last week, while inventories of petroleum products fell on strong demand. 27th July 2016 · 1 min read
Energy Update Déjà vu for oil prices? The rally in oil prices over the first half of the year, combined with the recent pull-back, has mirrored the movements in prices in the first half of 2015. However, rather than prices continuing to... 27th July 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Economic Outlook Policymakers will struggle to boost economy The sharp drop in oil prices and the Canadian dollar have led to a rapid deterioration in Canada’s economic outlook, overwhelming the ability of policymakers to stabilise the economy with conventional... 27th July 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Outlook Tougher few months in prospect Commodity prices have had a good few months, which is consistent with our relatively positive views on the medium-term outlook. The easing of fears about China’s economy has helped industrials, while... 26th July 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Weekly Extent of wildfire disruption about to become clearer This is the week that we will finally discover just how badly the economy was hit by the Alberta wildfires in May, which caused the shutdown of the majority of oil production in the Fort McMurray area... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
India Chart Pack Capital injections too small to revive banking sector The government’s announcement this week that it will inject more capital into local banks is a positive step, but the amount is still too limited to revive the ailing sector. 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Dollar strength takes some steam out of prices With a few exceptions, the prices of industrial commodities have taken another hit this week, pressured by profit taking and renewed strength in the US dollar. Meanwhile, the ECB’s decision to keep... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
