Latin America Economics Update Humala wins Peruvian presidential election Ollanta Humala, the left-wing candidate, appears to have triumphed in yesterday’s Peruvian presidential election. With investors concerned that he will now set about unpicking market-friendly economic... 6th June 2011 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Small Business Confidence (May) Japan's smaller firms continue to be hit hard by the fallout from March's earthquake. Business conditions did improve in May relative to April's post-disaster low and are expected to recover further... 30th May 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (May) May’s EC business and consumer survey brought further signs that the economic recovery in the euro-zone is starting to lose steam and hence dented hopes that continued strong growth in the core will... 27th May 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Final GDP (Q1) & Ifo Survey (May) May’s Ifo survey suggests that Germany’s impressive economic recovery continued in Q2. But with other surveys weakening recently and the GDP breakdown suggesting that Q1’s sharp rise in activity was... 24th May 2011 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update What are the implications of expanding the GCC? The Gulf Cooperation Council’s (GCC) decision to invite Jordan and Morocco to join shows the Council’s determination to ensure the political survival of the two remaining (and friendly) Arab... 11th May 2011 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Thaw in US-China relations unlikely to last Today’s economic discussions between China and the US are taking place in an atmosphere of unusual warmth. There are two obvious reasons – the fall in China’s trade surplus and the renminbi’s recent... 9th May 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Brazil's experience suggests that Peruvian equities could rally Peruvian markets have been hammered since Ollanta Humala, the left-wing candidate, won the first round of the Presidential election last month. There are several parallels to Brazil’s experience... 3rd May 2011 · 1 min read
Canada Economics Update Federal election results supportive to economy The Federal election results should be supportive for equity markets, the Canadian dollar and business investment. A pro-business majority Conservative government may also look to forge new bilateral... 3rd May 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Peru: Humala win means markets set for rollercoaster ride It appears that the Presidential election in Peru is heading for a second round of voting between Ollanta Humala and Keiko Fujimori on 5th June. While a victory for Ms. Fujimori would perhaps be the... 11th April 2011 · 1 min read
China Data Response NBS business conditions survey (Q1) The results of China’s largest quarterly business survey, released today, add to the pile of evidence that economic growth peaked at the end of 2010. There are tentative signs that growth is shifting... 8th April 2011 · 1 min read
Japan Economics Update Tankan before and after the earthquake The breakdown of the Bank of Japan’s Tankan survey of business conditions into pre- and post-earthquake responses showed that conditions were already expected to weaken before the disaster and are now... 4th April 2011 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Tankan Survey (Q1) The first results from the Bank of Japan's March Tankan survey of business conditions, released today, are not much use because we do not yet have a split between pre- and post-quake responses. The... 1st April 2011 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone EC Survey (Mar.) March’s fall in the EC measure of business and consumer sentiment provides some tentative signs that the euro-zone recovery may begin to slow before too long, suggesting that an April rate hike by the... 30th March 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Peruvian markets fall as election race takes unexpected twist Presidential election races in Peru have a history of being unpredictable. What initially seemed to be a three-way battle to succeed the outgoing Alan Garcia, now appears to be a five-way tussle ahead... 29th March 2011 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Unemployment, Retail Sales (Feb.) & Small Business Confidence (Mar.) Today’s retail sales and unemployment data for February were better than expected and small business confidence was high in early March. These figures pre-date the full impact of the earthquake that... 29th March 2011 · 1 min read
China Economics Update The view from the ground - Q1 2011 China’s businesses are signalling that demand is slowing. Households are slightly less concerned about inflation than they were three months ago. By a wide margin, they still prefer to save rather... 16th March 2011 · 1 min read
