UK Data Response Preliminary estimate of GDP (Q2) Today’s UK GDP figures showed that growth held up well in Q2 despite the uncertainty created in the run-up to the referendum. But this appeared to be driven completely by growth in April – boding... 27th July 2016 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Small Business Confidence (Jul.) While small business confidence rose for the second straight month in July, it still suggests that Japan’s economic recovery remains sluggish. 27th July 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Belgium among most exposed to Brexit fallout A weaker outlook for the external sector on the back of the UK’s Brexit vote will hit Belgium’s open economy harder than most. And with consumers looking poorly placed to take up the slack, the... 26th July 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Global fallout from Brexit: one month on It is early days, but the limited data released since the EU referendum, as well as the reaction in financial markets, support our view that the economic implications of Brexit outside the UK will be... 25th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response RICS Commercial Property Market Survey (Q2) The latest RICS Commercial Property Survey gave fresh evidence that sentiment in the property sector has deteriorated since June’s referendum. 25th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Data Response CBI Industrial Trends Survey (Jul. & Q3) The CBI Industrial Trends Survey for July and Q3 showed that manufacturers are not immune from the Brexit-related economic slowdown. But whether their gloominess persists now that the dust has settled... 25th July 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (July) July’s Ifo survey supported the message from the PMI that German economic activity has not yet suffered from the UK’s Brexit vote. But the dip in businesses’ expectations may suggest that a slowdown... 25th July 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Markets Economics Chart Pack Turkey coup aside, EMs have become more stable The failed military coup in Turkey has sent local financial markets into a tailspin and re-focused investors’ attention on broader EM political risk. However, political stability in emerging markets... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly One month after the referendum The economy has clearly taken a hit from the vote to leave the EU last month. Granted, sales values have held up well according to John Lewis, and the latest Bank of England Agents’ Scores were... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Early Brexit signals provide some comfort Last week’s euro-zone and country level data releases started to lift some of the heavy fog on the initial impact of the UK’s vote to leave the EU on the currency union’s economy. The early signs are... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Brexit Watch: Markets keep their cool despite slowdown signs Almost a month on from the historic vote to leave the EU, some of the first indicators of the state of the economy appear to point to a marked slowdown in growth. But the prospect of policy support to... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economics Update Flash PMIs (Jul.) Preliminary business surveys for July suggest that activity is contracting sharply in the UK following the Brexit vote. But there is no sign that other economies have been hit. 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack After the coup... The failed military coup in Turkey and subsequent government backlash have dominated investors’ concerns over the past week and triggered a sell-off in local financial markets. Policymakers have... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
Global Economic Outlook Life after Brexit For the world as a whole, the economic impact of the UK’s vote to leave the European Union should be negligible. Nonetheless, growth looks set to remain lacklustre in advanced economies. And with... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Data Response UK Flash PMIs (Jul.) The first economy-wide gauge of post-referendum activity suggests that the UK economy probably contracted in the weeks after the vote. But with market sentiment having improved and political... 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (July) July’s slight fall in the euro-zone Composite PMI suggests that the real economy has generally shrugged off the financial market volatility that followed the UK’s Brexit vote, but remains sluggish. 22nd July 2016 · 1 min read
