UK Data Response UK Labour Data (Aug./Sep.) The labour market recovery appears to be faltering, even before the public sector job cuts really begin. We stand by our long-held view that unemployment will eventually rise all the way to 3 million... 13th October 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Low company failures keep a lid on redundancies One explanation for the relatively small drop in employment during this recession is the muted pickup in company insolvencies. But a number of factors could prompt insolvencies to rise further... 12th October 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Low company failures keep a lid on redundancies One explanation for the relatively small drop in employment during this recession is the muted pickup in company insolvencies. But a number of factors could prompt insolvencies to rise further... 12th October 2010 · 1 min read
US Data Response Employment Report (Sep.) September's payroll report adds to the evidence that the recovery is losing what little forward momentum it had and will harden the resolve of the more dovish Fed officials to press forward with... 8th October 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Labour Cash Earnings (Aug) August's headline data on labour cash earnings were weaker than expected but the breakdown is reassuring and the underlying trends in employment income are continuing to improve. Meanwhile, the Bank... 4th October 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Weekly Fed edging towards more QE It is looking increasingly likely that the Fed will announce a new round of quantitative easing, probably before the end of the year. Our guess is that it will opt for a smaller scale open-ended... 4th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Unemployment (Aug.) Euro-zone unemployment figures for August showed further signs of improvement in labour market conditions in some core economies but unemployment continued to rise in the peripheral economies. 1st October 2010 · 1 min read
Japan Data Response Unemployment, Spending & CPI (Aug.) This week's wave of Japanese data has ended on a more positive note, with the unemployment rate falling in August for the second successive month, household spending firm, and the CPI no worse than... 1st October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI & German Unemployment (Sep.) September’s rise in euro-zone CPI inflation probably reflected energy and food effects, while underlying price pressures remain very weak. 30th September 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Weekly Labour market slack will help inflation to fall Last week’s consumer prices figures showing headline inflation holding steady at 3.1% fuelled doubts in some quarters over the MPC’s long held view that spare capacity in the economy will have a... 20th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Wage pressures to remain subdued Last week’s data brought further evidence of persistent weakness in euro-zone labour markets, with employment stagnating in Q2 and annual wage growth slowing. Admittedly, while pay cuts continued in... 20th September 2010 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Is employment really rising that much? Even if employment is not actually rising quite as quickly as the official figures suggest, the improvement in the jobs market has been pretty impressive. Unfortunately, this looks unlikely to last. 17th September 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Focus Mismatching has raised the structural unemployment rate 16th September 2010 · 1 min read
UK Data Response UK Labour Data (Jul./Aug.) The latest UK labour market figures showed that while employment is still rising strongly, cracks are appearing in the recovery. We still expect unemployment to rise to 3m or so within the next two or... 15th September 2010 · 1 min read
UK Data Response UK Labour Data (Jul./Aug.) The latest UK labour market figures showed that while employment is still rising strongly, cracks are appearing in the recovery. We still expect unemployment to rise to 3m or so within the next two or... 15th September 2010 · 1 min read
