Global Economics Focus Sovereign Debt: are the emerging markets immune? Emerging markets are not immune from the deepening debt crisis in the developed world, but most are well-placed to deal with the fallout. China faces a difficult structural transition of its own but... 21st October 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Markets take another pounding The Central Bank of Uruguay (BCU) left its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 8.0% last night as the board weighed downside risks to growth against stubbornly high inflation. We believe that the BCU... 30th September 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Heading into choppy waters The economies of Latin America are likely to slow by more than most expect over the next year. We do not anticipate a prolonged downturn, but the marked deterioration in the external environment means... 21st September 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Market rout focuses attention on risks to growth Financial markets in Latin America suffered heavy losses during the recent global market turmoil, extending their poor performance so far this year. Equity markets fell by around 15% amid a widespread... 25th August 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Interest rates close to peaking Policymakers in most of Latin America’s inflation-targeting countries have begun to signal an end to the current cycle of monetary tightening. In the very near term, we still expect the combination of... 28th July 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Markets continue to struggle Financial markets across Latin America have had a fairly torrid time over the past month or so. Fears of a renewed global slowdown and a subsequent drop in commodity prices, along with worries about... 30th June 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Domestic demand drives decent Q1 growth First quarter GDP data released over the past month confirm what we already knew – most countries in Latin America experienced a strong start to 2011. The problem, however, is that growth is still... 31st May 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Domestic demand set to drive growth The growth outlook for Latin America remains good. GDP growth is likely to slow a little over the coming quarters as external demand weakens and commodity prices come off of the boil, but the domestic... 26th May 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Rising inflation pushes 'currency wars' to the backburner The past month has brought further evidence of rising inflation in Latin America. For the most part, this is still being driven by higher food and energy prices, which in turn are a reflection of the... 27th April 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook The return of inflation? The growth outlook for Latin America remains good but inflation looks set to accelerate over the coming quarters. Further policy tightening is likely in most countries, although in most cases the... 16th March 2011 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Outlook good but testing times lie ahead The outlook for Latin America remains good and, while the developed world will struggle to grow by 2% next year, we expect the region as a whole to grow by 4%. Brazil, Chile, Peru and Colombia will... 14th December 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Treading the middle ground The outlook for Latin America remains good and, while the developed world will struggle to grow by 2% next year, we expect the region as a whole to grow by 4%. Brazil, Chile, Peru and Colombia will... 10th September 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Fundamentals remain good but growth set to slow in 2011 (Q2 10) The economic resurgence in Latin America is likely to stay strong for a while yet. Brazil and Peru should remain the region’s best performers – we expect both to expand by 6% this year. Mexico, Chile... 10th May 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Weak global recovery to expose sharp country divisions (Q1 10) The recovery in Latin America’s resurgent economy is likely to stay strong for a quarter or two longer. But we expect growth to fade over the second half of this year and into 2011 as the global... 15th February 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Impressive recovery to give way to sluggish 2011 (Q4 09) A combination of a decent recovery in the US and Asia, the recent pick-up in commodity prices and a resumption of capital inflows should ensure that most countries in Latin America experience a strong... 28th October 2009 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Nearing the bottom, but recovery set to disappoint (Q3 09) The good news is that Latin America’s economy appears close to bottoming out, with a sustained recovery now possible by the turn of the year. The bad news is that the pace of recovery is likely to... 22nd July 2009 · 1 min read
