UK inflation rises less than expected to 2.2% in July Ruth Gregory, economist at consultancy Capital Economics, said the “smaller-than-expected rise” in consumer prices and “the sharp fall in services inflation” would “reassure the Bank of England . .... 14th August 2024 · Financial Times
UK Economics Rapid Response UK Consumer Prices (Jul. 2024) The smaller-than-expected rise in CPI inflation from 2.0% in June to 2.2% in July (consensus forecast 2.3%, Capital Economics 2.1%, Bank of England 2.4%) and the sharp fall in services inflation from... 14th August 2024 · 3 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Update RBNZ will loosen policy aggressively The RBNZ began its easing cycle with a 25bp rate cut at its meeting today. Although the Bank appeared to strike a cautious tone about further policy easing, we think it will cut rates more... 14th August 2024 · 3 mins read
Latin America Economics Focus Elevated housing inflation to keep Banxico hawkish Housing inflation has become an increasingly important driver of core services inflation in Mexico – a key concern of the central bank, Banxico. And we think that robust household income growth and a... 13th August 2024 · 13 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Rapid Response Australia Wage Price Index (Q2 2024) The RBA probably won’t read too much into the fact that annual wage growth stalled last quarter. A gradual loosening of the labour market should ensure that wage pressures do ease in the quarters... 13th August 2024 · 3 mins read
Canada Economics Weekly Bank’s balancing act weighs risks on both sides With the Summary of Deliberations this week confirming that the Bank of Canada is putting more weight on the downside risks, we feel confident that the Bank will continue to cut interest rates at each... 9th August 2024 · 5 mins read
Capital Daily Weaker MXN no major concern for Banxico, nor for us At Banxico’s meeting yesterday, worries over the weakness in the Mexican economy outweighed concerns over the sell-off in the Mexican peso and prompted the central bank to restart its easing cycle... 9th August 2024 · 5 mins read
India Economics Weekly Questions for the RBI in the rupee’s decline The rupee was one of only a few currencies to weaken against the dollar this week. Could a lack of investor confidence in the currency pose problems in the months ahead for the RBI? 9th August 2024 · 5 mins read
Latin America Economics Weekly Banxico cuts, LatAm and the global market turmoil The Mexican peso was on a rollercoaster ride this week but, as we'd expected, Banxico placed more emphasis on the weakness in the economy as it pressed ahead with a 25bp cut (to 10.75%). And the... 9th August 2024 · 6 mins read
Latin America Rapid Response Brazil IPCA (Jul. 2024) The rise in Brazil’s headline inflation rate to 4.5% y/y in July was mainly driven by a pick-up in underlying core services inflation which will do little to quell the hawkishness of Copom. But, with... 9th August 2024 · 2 mins read
Africa Economics Weekly Market turmoil and Africa, Uganda and Kenya rate cuts Idiosyncratic factors seemed to play a bigger role than the recent global financial market turmoil in driving African markets this week. But while the fall in oil prices may be overdone, African... 9th August 2024 · 7 mins read
Europe Economics Weekly Market “turmoil” not a big concern for euro-zone The brief period of turmoil in global markets which continued earlier this week should not have a lasting impact on the euro-zone. Most of the market moves were small and have already been largely... 9th August 2024 · 8 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Emerging Europe & the mid-summer market turmoil Global financial markets have unwound some of the big moves from late last week and early this week, and we doubt the latest market gyrations will change the economic or policymaking outlook much in... 9th August 2024 · 6 mins read
Europe Economics Update Norges Bank will stick to hawkish tone for now Inflation in Norway has continued to fall more quickly than policymakers expected. But with the krone coming under renewed pressure recently, we think they will maintain a hawkish tone next week. 9th August 2024 · 2 mins read
Latin America Rapid Response Mexico Interest Rate Announcement (Aug.) Mexico’s central bank opted to reduce its policy rate by 25bp, to 10.75%, at today’s meeting and the statement generally retained the moderately dovish tone from the last one. We think further rate... 8th August 2024 · 2 mins read
