Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Swiss franc’s appreciation supports case for hefty rate cuts The franc’s latest appreciation to a record high against the euro appears to reflect the weakness of the euro-zone economy more than Swiss domestic factors. But the franc’s strength is yet another... 28th October 2008 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Swedish interest rates to fall to 3.0% by mid 2009 The decision by the Swedish Riksbank to cut interest rates to 3.75%, the second 50 basis points cut this month, clearly shows that the Bank’s full attention is now on preventing a major economic... 23rd October 2008 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update New forecasts for currencies and commodities The recent acceleration in the dollar’s appreciation against other major currencies (with the notable exception of the yen) reflects a combination of factors, none of which is likely to reverse any... 22nd October 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update New forecasts for currencies and commodities The recent acceleration in the dollar’s appreciation against other major currencies (with the notable exception of the yen) reflects a combination of factors, none of which is likely to reverse any... 22nd October 2008 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update New forecasts for currencies and commodities The recent acceleration in the dollar’s appreciation against other major currencies (with the notable exception of the yen) reflects a combination of factors, none of which is likely to reverse any... 22nd October 2008 · 1 min read
UK Markets Chart Pack Muted response to bank recapitalisation (Oct 08) The historic measures announced by the UK government and policymakers around the world appear to have avoided a full-scale financial meltdown. But the response of the markets has been fairly muted... 16th October 2008 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Iceland’s latest measures no silver bullet for the economy The Icelandic authorities are fighting tooth and nail to restore confidence in the ailing economy and crumbling banking system. But it seems inevitable that the economy is set for a prolonged slowdown... 7th October 2008 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Focus Markets are wrong about the renminbi Markets appear to have all but given up on the idea that the renminbi will appreciate against the dollar over the next year. But we find nothing in the data on China’s real economy or in the outlook... 11th September 2008 · 1 min read
UK Markets Chart Pack Market rates fail to respond to US GSE bailout (Sep 08) We doubt that the US bailout of the Government Sponsored Enterprises Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac marks the end of the financial crisis. Indeed, the rebound in global equities has been short-lived and... 11th September 2008 · 1 min read
China Economics Focus Markets are wrong about the renminbi Markets appear to have all but given up on the idea that the renminbi will appreciate against the dollar over the next year. But we find nothing in the data on China’s real economy or in the outlook... 11th September 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Sterling’s tumble won’t stop interest rates falling The pound’s recent sharp fall is good news for the future prospects of the UK’s exporters. But it won’t prevent the Monetary Policy Committee from having to cut interest rates aggressively in response... 2nd September 2008 · 1 min read
UK Markets Outlook Adjustment to economic gloom has further to go Having previously looked complacent, the UK financial markets have started to respond to the gloomier outlook for the macro-economy. Interest rate expectations, bond yields, equities and the pound... 21st August 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update Sterling's fundamental adjustment has further to go The latest drop in the sterling exchange rate has been largely driven by short-term movements in interest rate expectations. But we see the fall as part of a long overdue adjustment which has... 14th August 2008 · 1 min read
UK Markets Chart Pack Markets still distorted one year on from the credit crunch (Aug 08) One year on from the start of the credit crunch, distortions in the money markets remain and most securitisation markets are still closed. But the sharp fall in the oil price over the last month... 14th August 2008 · 1 min read
