Europe Chart Pack Outlook for periphery’s exporters is improving The depreciation of the euro over the past year or so appears to be finally starting to help euro-zone exporters. The latest data show that annual growth in euro-zone export values picked up to 7.3%... 3rd June 2015 · 1 min read
Africa Economics Update Kenya: shilling weakness no cause for panic The recent weakness of the Kenyan shilling is not, as some local media has alleged, the first sign of an impending balance of payments crisis. The shilling will probably continue to depreciate, but... 3rd June 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Weak yen not to blame for Korean export woes Subdued global demand, rather than the strength of the Korean won against the Japanese yen is to blame for the poor recent performance of Korean exports. 1st June 2015 · 1 min read
China Economics Update Equities on a rollercoaster This month ended with a crash on China’s stock markets. But if the equity bubble of 2007 is any guide, this may not be the end of the speculative rally. 29th May 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Economics Update Asian currencies fall, bond yields rise Most currencies sold off against the US dollar in May. Meanwhile, the region’s bond markets have settled down in recent weeks, after being briefly caught up in the global bond market sell-off earlier... 29th May 2015 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Swiss GDP (Q1) Swiss GDP data for Q1 probably exaggerate the true hit to exports from the appreciation of the franc. But with the currency likely to remain at a very high level, the economy is set to expand only... 29th May 2015 · 1 min read
Australia & New Zealand Economics Weekly The markets don’t care whether Australia is AAA or AA It is possible that at some point in the next couple of years, Australia will lose its AAA credit rating. While this would be a huge blow for whichever political party is in power at the time, it... 29th May 2015 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swiss GDP (Q1 15) Swiss GDP data for Q1 probably exaggerate the true hit to exports from the appreciation of the franc. But with the currency likely to remain at a very high level, the economy is set to expand only... 29th May 2015 · 1 min read
EM Valuations Monitor Which EM currencies are misaligned? The Peterson Institute for International Economics is due to publish its latest semi-annual estimates of fundamental equilibrium exchange rates soon. These are likely to suggest that the Turkish lira... 28th May 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Equities weaken, bond yields rise Financial markets in Emerging Europe have generally performed poorly over the past month, with equities having dropped back and the region’s bonds having been hit by the sell-off in developed... 28th May 2015 · 1 min read
Asia Chart Pack Indonesia still looks vulnerable Today’s handover from military to civilian rule in Myanmar marks another welcome step forward in the country’s political development. But the new government must overcome a number of major challenges... 28th May 2015 · 1 min read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Update Egyptian equities rally It has been a quiet month for financial markets in the Middle East, with most stock markets treading water and bond yields staying low. The one exception is the Egyptian equity index, which rose... 28th May 2015 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Is the worst really over for Russia? The slump in activity data for April put an end to hopes raised in some parts of the government (and markets) that the worst is over for the Russian economy. The steep falls in output are likely to be... 27th May 2015 · 1 min read
Global Markets Update Renewed dollar strength has further to go Diverging prospects for economic growth and monetary policy point to additional gains for the dollar this year, especially against the euro and the yen. The real possibility that Greece will be the... 27th May 2015 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Markets in Brazil and Colombia suffer fresh falls Following a brief recovery last month, Brazilian and Colombian financial markets have sold off in recent weeks, with both equities and currencies coming under pressure. But elsewhere in Latin America... 27th May 2015 · 1 min read
Global Economics Focus China and the SDR: a storm in a basket It is only a matter of time before China passes another milestone as the renminbi is added to the basket of currencies which determine the value of the IMF’s special drawing right. However, we doubt... 26th May 2015 · 1 min read
