Australia & New Zealand Economics Update New Zealand - New LVR rules raise the chance of rates going below 2.0% Today’s announcement by the Reserve Bank of New Zealand that it intends to tighten existing loan-to-value restrictions will not only go some way to addressing the risks to financial stability posed by... 19th July 2016 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Chart Pack Brexit will have limited impact on housing market The shock decision by UK voters to leave the European Union is being felt in the mortgage market. The subsequent sharp drop in 10-year Treasury yields has helped mortgage rates down to close to record... 14th July 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Chart Pack Economic growth already fading again After a brief surge at the start of this year, GDP growth has already slowed markedly in recent months. (See Chart.) Unfortunately, the recent limited rebound in commodity prices won’t be enough to... 14th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response RICS Residential Market Survey (Jun 2016) June’s RICS survey saw several key indicators fall to post-crisis lows, and was broadly consistent with our view that Brexit will drive down housing market activity and cool the rate of house price... 14th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Economics Update How big is the threat from property? The commercial property sector has so far been the main focal point of Brexit concerns. But there are reasons to be hopeful that its problems won’t push the broader economy into a deep recession. 13th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Update Post-Brexit housing market: when will we know? It will be several weeks before we start to get hard data on how the housing market has reacted to the EU referendum outcome. Even then, the initial data may lend themselves to many different... 13th July 2016 · 1 min read
Canada Data Response Teranet-National Bank House Prices (Jun.) When the next edition of Charles Kindleberger’s Manias, Panics and Crashes is released , Canada’s housing market will warrant its own chapter. According to Teranet , the 11-city house price index... 13th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey (Q2, 2016) Lenders reported a small drop in secured credit availability to households in the second quarter. But the availability of debt for commercial property fell sharply, and the outlook for Q3 looks... 13th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Bank of England Credit Conditions Survey (Q2, 2016) Lenders reported a small drop in secured credit availability to households in the second quarter. But the availability of debt for commercial property fell sharply, and the outlook for Q3 looks... 13th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Focus After the referendum - how will the housing market fare? The movements in housebuilder share prices in the past two weeks could be a sign that a slump in house price expectations is about to trigger a fresh house price correction. But if we are right, and... 12th July 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Halifax House Prices (Jun.) The Halifax index reported a solid rise in house prices in May. But with the quarterly rate of growth having more than halved over the last few months, today’s data suggest that house price growth had... 7th July 2016 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Focus Will single-family housing starts ever recover? In order for housing starts to make sustained headway, building in the single-family sector needs to rise. For that to happen, builders need to shift production towards lower priced starter homes... 6th July 2016 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Applications (Jun.) The impact from Brexit is being felt in the mortgage market. Mortgage interest rates have dropped on the back of a decline in Treasury yields, which has given refinancing activity a boost. Rates are... 6th July 2016 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Data Response CoreLogic House Prices (May) CoreLogic reported a strong rise in house prices in May, in line with the recent run of solid gains. With mortgage rates now likely to stay close to record lows for longer, house prices will continue... 5th July 2016 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Outlook Housing market activity finally picking up A surge in new home sales in April, which was only partly reversed in May, suggests that housing market activity is finally picking up. Activity is being supported by an improving labour market, very... 29th June 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Data Response Nationwide House Prices (Jun.) & Mortgage Lending (May.) Today’s data paint a picture of a relatively subdued housing market in the run up to the referendum. Unfortunately, it will be several months before we get a clear picture of how the tangible sense of... 29th June 2016 · 1 min read
