Europe Commercial Property Update Our key commercial property trends for 2021 Although the rollout of effective vaccines should allow economic activity to rebound in the second half of the year, we do not think that European property markets will bounce back quickly. 6th January 2021 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Nov.) Consistent with soft investment activity and a return to more regular loan repayments, net lending was negative for the second consecutive month in November. Looking ahead, we think a weaker near-term... 4th January 2021 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Structural changes threaten the hotel recovery The hotel sector has been hit hardest by the virus, and we expect its recovery will be slower than the other sectors. And, even when vaccines pave the way for an improvement in occupancy, structural... 22nd December 2020 · 3 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Scandi & Swiss: Property recovery to prove gradual The positive news on the vaccine has improved the economic outlook and should allow output in the Swiss and Scandinavian economies to recover to their pre-virus levels in late 2021. This will support... 17th December 2020 · 18 mins read
US Commercial Property Update NYC apartment vacancy rates well-placed to recover As the country begins to return normal next year, the hardest hit apartment markets in the country will recover. New York City looks particularly well-placed to benefit from returning non-office-based... 16th December 2020 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update NYC apartment vacancy rates well-placed to recover As the country begins to return normal next year, the hardest hit apartment markets in the country will recover. New York City looks particularly well-placed to benefit from returning non-office-based... 16th December 2020 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response Commercial Property Lending (Nov.) Commercial real estate debt growth accelerated in November. However, renewed lockdowns in many states may slow the recovery in investment activity, limiting debt growth in the next few months. 11th December 2020 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Structural changes will keep office and retail in the doldrums While the news of vaccines provides a fillip to our economic outlook, it does not have a major bearing on our occupier market forecasts. After all, we expect that structural change, rather than... 11th December 2020 · 23 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Structural factors to hold back office and retail recovery Although the near-term economic outlook remains weak, vaccine developments pave the way for a rebound in mid-2021. However, we think that the rental recovery in property markets will be more gradual... 10th December 2020 · 31 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Shop rents to bottom out in 2022 after a 15% fall The confirmation of an effective vaccine in recent weeks has improved the economic outlook. But rising unemployment, a higher exposure to smaller retailers and ongoing travel restrictions will result... 8th December 2020 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI (Nov.) The rise in the headline construction PMI in November showed that the industry continued to recover even as overall economic activity probably contracted again. But builders’ optimism that this will... 4th December 2020 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Revising the peak-to-trough price fall to just 5% Our upcoming Outlook will detail major upgrades to our capital value expectations. Rather than a total fall of around 10% at the all-property level, we now expect the cumulative decline to be just 5%. 3rd December 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update CEE-euro-zone office yield spread to keep widening A weaker CEE rental outlook, coupled with tighter policy and investors’ reassessment of the sector, suggest that the recent widening between CEE and euro-zone office yields has further to go. 3rd December 2020 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Vaccine will not provide a quick fix for real estate News about a vaccine has boosted financial markets and we have revised up our global economic expectations for the next two years or so. But while we think that this bodes well for the medium term... 2nd December 2020 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Only 15% of European markets overvalued Falls in alternative asset yields in Q3 meant valuations continued to improve for offices and retail, while they held steady for industrial. And the backdrop is supportive of property valuations in... 30th November 2020 · 6 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Scandinavia & Switzerland: Value recovery to pause Economic and property data for Q3 confirmed Switzerland and Scandinavia’s relative resilience in this pandemic. In fact, Scandinavian capital value growth improved across all sectors on an annual... 24th November 2020 · 5 mins read