UK Commercial Property Update Investment expected to edge higher in 2022 Investment activity has bounced back sharply after the initial COVID-19 shock and is on track to hit a three-year high in 2021. But we expect more modest growth in 2022 as softer economic activity and... 15th December 2021 · 3 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Scandi & Swiss: 2021 as good as it gets for returns The near-term economic outlook has weakened, though GDP in the region had already surpassed its pre-virus levels by Q3. Meanwhile, inflation is set to fall back next year, allowing most central banks... 14th December 2021 · 18 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response Commercial Property Lending (Nov.) Commercial real estate debt recorded its largest gain in November since the onset of the pandemic. And with investment volumes on track for a record-breaking year, we expect lending activity to remain... 13th December 2021 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook All-property returns set for double digits in 2022 The major change to our forecasts this quarter is that we now see strong demand for assets persisting well into 2022 and pushing yields down further. That is true in all sectors, with retail and... 10th December 2021 · 23 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update London office construction expected to slow further Office space under construction declined for a third consecutive quarter according to the Winter London Crane Survey, despite an uptick in new starts. Given the challenges the office sector faces, we... 10th December 2021 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update New variant unlikely to derail recovery The Omicron variant has heightened the near-term risks for both the economy and UK commercial property. The latest restrictions show that there is still considerable uncertainty, but our estimates... 9th December 2021 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Update Will major coastal city rents continue to get cheaper? The pandemic turbo-charged a move away from major coastal cities, and that drop in demand led to a sharp fall in their rents relative to the national average. But with those moves now made and cities... 9th December 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Omicron poses near-term downside risk to property recovery The near-term economic outlook has weakened, with the Omicron variant posing further downside risk. Meanwhile, inflation is likely to be higher for longer. However, we expect it to fall back by 2023... 9th December 2021 · 30 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IHS Markit/CIPS Construction PMI (Nov.) The construction PMI rose for a second-consecutive month in October, to its highest level since July. However, we expect continued labour and supply shortages to hamper output in the near term. 6th December 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack Rental growth hits a three-year high Commercial property’s recent good run continued in October. The annual rate of rental growth surged ahead after only breaching positive territory for the first time in almost two years during August... 3rd December 2021 · 7 mins read
US Commercial Property Data Response US Metro Employment (Oct.) The easing of the Delta wave of infections in the South boosted leisure & hospitality hiring in October. Meanwhile, office-based jobs rose in all 30 metros, following widespread declines in September... 2nd December 2021 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Fair value analysis points to one more year of yield falls Against both our proprietary in-house valuations and a more traditional fair value analysis, real estate looks cheap despite recent yield falls. Indeed, our analysis suggests yields could fall by... 1st December 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update CEE yield compression to continue into 2022 After surprising on the upside this year, we think that the broad-based decline in Central and Eastern European (CEE) property yields will continue in 2022, albeit at a more modest pace. But with... 30th November 2021 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Valuations worsen, but office and retail still fair value Higher alternative asset yields and falls in office and industrial yields contributed to a further deterioration in property valuations in Q3. The decline in government bond yields since then, which... 29th November 2021 · 7 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Oct.) A drop in repayments and rise in development activity resulted in positive net lending in October for the first time since March. Despite this turnaround, credit conditions will remain tight and... 29th November 2021 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response IPF Consensus Forecasts (Nov.) The resilience of the commercial property market has led to further upgrades to the IPF Consensus view for this year, albeit still below our forecast. Beyond this year, we are more downbeat about the... 26th November 2021 · 3 mins read
