UK Commercial Property Outlook Weak economy to prevent a sustained, strong recovery in capital values (Q4 09) Economic prospects have improved since the previous Analyst, but not sufficiently to warrant a material change to our commercial property forecasts. As a result, over the period 2010-13, we still... 17th November 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Has the shift to part-time working limited the fall in property demand? Part-time working has become more common during this recession, and may have helped commercial property demand to hold up better than it would have done in a scenario where firms were simply laying... 13th November 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Office v industrial rents: why have Italy and Portugal been different? The relatively large falls in industrial rental values in Italy and Portugal appear to stem from poor links to Europe’s primary logistics corridors. With a strong dependence on their domestic economic... 12th November 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Office development cut, but not enough to prevent rental declines In response to the recession developers have cancelled new construction projects where possible. Unfortunately the cutbacks made have not prevented office completions from rising this year. Although... 11th November 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Why have leisure and hotels held up relatively well during downturns? As they did in the early 1990s, the leisure and hotel sectors experienced smaller-than-average capital value falls during the most recent downturn. The weight of evidence is that these two niche... 10th November 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Spanish retail recovery not yet in sight as confidence falls in October October’s fall in the ICO measure of Spanish consumer confidence was not all bad news for property markets; confidence is still much higher than it was six months ago and expectations for the future... 3rd November 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update RICS survey more upbeat, except for Europe Overall, the latest RICS survey of global commercial property markets was more upbeat than the last. However, the improvements were mostly evident in Asia. Within Europe, both occupier and investment... 2nd November 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Laying the foundations for a stronger investment market Today’s ECB Bank Lending Survey suggests that the tightening in credit conditions faced by business across Europe may now be at an end. At the same time, however, lenders do not yet appear ready to... 28th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Should Prague and Warsaw office yields be more differentiated? Investors seem to have taken a broad-brush approach to pricing Prague and Warsaw office markets in recent years. Should there be more differentiation in pricing between these markets? We think that... 22nd October 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update What do property/bond yield spreads imply for rental value growth? With 10-year bond yields averaging 3.65% over the past month and all-property initial yields at 7.7%, investors seem to be pricing property on the assumption that rental values in 10 years’ time will... 21st October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Warsaw medium-term office rent prospects still good, despite falls The huge fall in Warsaw office rental values seen over the past year looks disproportionate relative to both the strength of the Polish economy and to developments elsewhere in Emerging Europe... 19th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Investment market activity picked up in Q3, but rental values fell The first data for 2009Q3 showed a pick-up in European commercial property investment activity, accompanied by a picture of broad stability for initial yields. At the same time, rental values declined... 14th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Rise in French industrial output is unlikely to support rental values On the face of it, the fourth consecutive monthly rise in French industrial output in August provides some grounds for hope that an improvement in industrial occupier demand might be imminent. However... 12th October 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Why have retail warehouse capital values risen first and fastest? IPD all-property capital values rose by 0.2% in August, ending a 25-month unbroken run of falls. Retail warehouse capital values, however, troughed in June and have since risen by 1.4% from their... 12th October 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Why have French yields risen more than Italian and Dutch yields? At first glance it seems a little surprising that initial yields in France are now above those in Italy and the Netherlands. Foreign investors’ share of the French investment market has fallen... 8th October 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Lenders begin to return, but outlook for lending activity still subdued Yesterday’s papers gave considerable coverage to recent Savills research reporting a sharp rise in the number of lenders willing to lend against UK commercial property. Clearly, this adds to the case... 7th October 2009 · 1 min read
