Europe Commercial Property Update Why has Swiss commercial property been relatively resilient? To date, capital values in Switzerland have held up better than in most other European markets. This seems consistent with the fact that Swiss property did not become significantly overvalued during... 2nd June 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Focus The effects of structural lease changes on landlords’ income Structural changes to commercial property leases in the UK (e.g. more break clauses) have meant that landlords’ incomes are now more exposed to market forces than they once were. On the basis of the... 29th May 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Dutch capital values unlikely to fall as sharp as RICS survey suggests The recent RICS Global Commercial Property Survey suggests that, within Europe, the Netherlands will see the sharpest falls in capital values over the next few months. With property yields already at... 28th May 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update If prime yields have peaked, how much more might the average rise? Anecdotal evidence that commercial property yields have peaked is steadily accumulating. To be sure, it is only a very narrow and select portion of the market in which yields are reported to have... 21st May 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Fundamentals for French retail property are still relatively strong According to Agents’ reports, prime retail rental values have yet to fall in France. While this is far from unique within the euro-zone, recent consumer confidence and retail sales data show the... 21st May 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update First signs of improving investment markets in Western Europe? The latest RICS snapshot of global property markets offered some tentative hope that the pace of the correction in Western Europe might soon begin to moderate as improving investor demand helps to put... 19th May 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update De Montfort Lending Review, full-year 2008 Broadly speaking, the De Montfort review for 2008 supports our long-held view that commercial property lending will remain weak for a prolonged period. The sanguine attitude of lenders towards... 15th May 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Latest GDP data do not alter commercial property outlook There was nothing in the latest euro-zone GDP releases to change materially our commercial property forecasts. If anything, however, the figures raised most concerns about the German property market... 15th May 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Falls in London office development pipelines: an alternative view All else equal, the recent falls in office development pipelines in Central London would be positive for the outlook for rental values. However, take-up has fallen at an even faster rate, meaning that... 14th May 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Have Norwegian property yields peaked? In the early stages of the correction, property yields in Oslo saw some of the largest rises of any European city. But the rate of increase slowed sharply in 2009Q1. However, it is too soon to... 8th May 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus Retail rents: the euro-zone will outperform emerging Europe Our forecasts envisage that, in general, rental values in the euro-zone will hold up better through the recession in retail than in industrial markets. But the same will not be true in emerging Europe... 7th May 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update How significant is the upturn in commercial property sentiment? Sentiment towards commercial property has improved of late and some anecdotal evidence suggests that yields have stabilised. However, to date, the improvement in sentiment appears modest and the... 6th May 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Falls in Spanish rental values are not just a temporary phase Dublin aside, prime commercial property rental values have fallen further in Barcelona and Madrid than in any other major euro-zone city. That seems consistent with the dramatic rise in Spanish... 28th April 2009 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Does a fast start to the rental downturn imply a quicker recovery? To date, the recession has triggered a larger fall in commercial property rental values than past experience suggests is typical. The abrupt drop in financial and business services employment, with... 24th April 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Property equities support relative optimism on France & Netherlands Real estate equity markets currently appear to be anticipating that commercial property capital values will fare worse in Germany and Italy this year than in France and the Netherlands. Those broad... 24th April 2009 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Sharp interest rate cuts won’t help Turkish commercial property The Central Bank of Turkey’s most recent interest rate cut was the second in a row to surprise markets in its scale (75bps, to 9.75% on 16th April). However, unexpectedly sharp rate cuts do not mean... 20th April 2009 · 1 min read
