Global Markets Outlook Bubble in US Treasuries should deflate soon If recent history is any guide, Fed tightening is unlikely to derail stock markets to the extent that many fear. Our view is that while US equities will struggle to make further headway, they will... 31st October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update What do recent data tell us about short-term prospects? A range of recent data supports our forecast that commercial property capital values will continue to rise next year. Indeed, even if modestly higher interest rates in 2015 do start to push up... 30th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Falling vacancy points to Brussels industrial rental growth Despite only tepid economic growth in Belgium, strengthening occupier demand has caused industrial vacancy rates to fall. With vacancy at frictional levels, prime rental value growth will soon widen... 29th October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Sep./Q3) Net commercial property lending was negative again in September. We think positive figures are now in sight, but also that lending activity is unlikely to boom. 29th October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Chart Pack Retail rental values finally show signs of life All-property rental values grew by 0.4%m/m in September, the second-biggest monthly increase since mid-2007. Industrial and office sector rental values continued their recovery, but perhaps the most... 24th October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Data Response RICS Construction Survey (Q3) Strong readings from today’s RICS construction survey confirm that commercial property developers’ confidence about the prospects for occupier demand is high. We agree that the outlook for the... 23rd October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update How vulnerable is non-core logistics property to risk aversion? Compared to previous bouts of risk aversion, the peripheral euro-zone and emerging European economic outlook is better. And, with investors now seeing the sector as a core portfolio component, the... 22nd October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Are Rest of UK office rents poised to accelerate? History shows that upswings in London and South East office rents tend to filter out pretty quickly to the rest of the country. And with the economic recovery entrenched and regional office-based jobs... 16th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What impact will lower oil prices have on Norway’s property markets? With oil prices having fallen and costs continuing to rise, firms in the sector have cut back their investment plans. Whilst this will reduce economic growth more broadly, we expect the greatest... 15th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Peripheral industrial property values look set to outperform In contrast to most core euro-zone markets, industrial yields across the periphery have yet to narrow to the same extent as office and retail yields. Hence, while the recent weak euro-zone production... 14th October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Focus Are supermarket property returns past their best? Over the past 30-35 years, supermarket property total returns have averaged more than 11% p.a., better than any of the other main segments. However, this long period of outperformance has now left... 14th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Where next for prime office yields in Switzerland? Despite a weak outlook for the occupier markets, we expect Swiss prime office yields to mark time at their current levels for at least another 12 to 18 months as bond yields stay close to historic... 9th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Is now the time to be buying Spanish industrial assets? Gradually improving economic growth and tightening supply in prime locations is set to produce rental growth in the next 12 months. With industrial yields elevated relative to both office yields and... 8th October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update More evidence that London office rents have further to rise The results of the latest CBI/PwC Financial Services survey were positive for the commercial property market. Business activity is improving steadily and the survey suggests that Central London office... 6th October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update When will Prague office rents stabilise? Net absorption is likely to fall well short of the increase in new supply in the Prague office market over the next couple of years. Therefore, we have downgraded our rental growth forecasts for the... 1st October 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update What impact will Turkey’s slowdown have on its retail sector? The significant fall in the Turkish lira, coupled with a consumer-sector slowdown, will ensure that landlords of secondary schemes continue to face downwards pressure on rents. However, Turkey’s prime... 30th September 2014 · 1 min read
