Europe Commercial Property Update German retail rents to rise despite moderation in consumption growth German consumption growth is set to moderate this year and next. However, due to demographic factors, prospects for retail sales in the main cities seem stronger than for Germany as a whole. Combined... 28th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Warsaw offices rental value falls far from over Solid employment growth will support strong occupier demand for Warsaw offices. But , the city’s huge development pipeline will again push rents lower in both 2016 and 2017. As such, we expect prime... 27th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Further falls needed to bring Moscow retail rents back to reality The falls in Moscow office and industrial rents since 2014 have been largely in line with our expectations. But despite large falls in real wages, retail rents have fallen by much less than we... 21st April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Little reason to expect office rents in Milan to jump Last year, office take-up in Milan hit a new record and the vacancy rate fell for the first time since 2008. Although both factors imply the recovery in office rents may be about to gather momentum... 18th April 2016 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Central London retail values to hold on to recent gains Over the next few years, we expect high rents and elevated valuations to act as an increasing drag on capital values for the Central London retail market. That said, structural change in the retail... 18th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Record take-up points to logistics rental growth across Germany In 2015, German logistics take-up hit a new record. Although the Kiel Institute’s logistics sentiment indicator fell to its lowest level in three years in Q1, consumer goods companies and delivery... 14th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Prague high streets offer decent value despite historically low yields Positive consumer sector fundamentals reinforce our belief that prime retail rental values in Prague will rise by 3.7% p.a. in 2016-18. Low alternative asset yields and positive fundamentals mean that... 8th April 2016 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Could prime shopping centre rents be a bright spot in retail? Our forecasts envisage that shopping centre rental growth will average less than 2%p.a. in 2016 and 2017. But those relatively subdued figures disguise a rather brighter outlook for prime shopping... 7th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are yield falls about to go into reverse in Oslo offices? Early indications from Q1 2016 suggest that office yields in Oslo are coming under upwards pressure. Although consistent with the weakening rental market, this is contrary to our current forecasts... 5th April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Central European yield falls to outstrip other European sub-regions With property yields in Western Europe at historic lows, investors are looking to core CE markets for higher income returns. This will lead to heightened competition for assets in these markets and... 1st April 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Copenhagen offices set for solid, but unspectacular, rental growth We expect Denmark’s economic recovery to strengthen further, with employment growth in particular solidifying. This will drive a further pick-up in demand for offices and, although much of the new... 31st March 2016 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Is speculative development a problem in the industrial market? Speculative industrial development rose significantly in 2015. But that needs to be balanced against healthy demand, low vacancy rates and limits to future pipelines. In turn, we expect all-industrial... 24th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Further ECB stimuli will keep euro-zone property values rising Despite the ECB’s recent monetary loosening, we expect further stimulus measures will be required to reinvigorate growth and push inflation back towards its target. This will prove to be a net... 23rd March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Dutch retail rental growth rates upgraded Steady improvement in the Dutch consumer sector in the next few years will support expansionary retailer demand and drive rental growth rates above those we had previously forecast. We now expect... 22nd March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Focus German office rental growth is set to pick up strongly Office rental values in Berlin, Hamburg and Munich now stand, on average, 7% above their prior 2008 peaks, and at their highest levels in 15 years. Even so, the positive economic outlook, low... 17th March 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Can Helsinki office rents rise above the weak economic outlook? Finland’s poor economic outlook will not prevent prime office rents from growing further in the next few years. Indeed, we have bumped up our rental growth forecasts for 2016 and 2017 to 3% and 2.5%... 16th March 2016 · 1 min read
