UK Housing Market Data Response Mortgage Lending (Jan.) A third consecutive monthly rise in mortgage approvals suggests that housing market activity will remain higher than usual in the coming months as households continue to adjust to remote working. UK... 1st March 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Data Response Lending to commercial property (Jan.) Net lending to property fell back in January, after reaching its highest level in 18 months in December. But overall net lending remained in positive territory, though we expect a number of challenges... 1st March 2022 · 2 mins read
Australia & New Zealand Data Response Australia CoreLogic House Prices (Feb.) Leading indicators remain consistent with solid house price growth, but if the recent moderation turns into an outright slump, the RBA will not hike rates as aggressively as we anticipate. 1st March 2022 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Russia-Ukraine and the risks to commercial property The Russian invasion of Ukraine has added significant new uncertainty for investors. We expect Moscow property will take a substantial hit, but the impact on the wider European property market will be... 28th February 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Valuation Monitor Rising alternative asset yields stretch property valuations There was little change to property valuations in Q4, with two major exceptions. Those were the industrial sector, which saw another decline in its valuation score, and a handful of Southern apartment... 25th February 2022 · 7 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update The impact of the invasion of Ukraine on UK property Much has been made of UK property’s openness to Russian money following the invasion of Ukraine. But since the depreciation of the Russian ruble in 2014, Russians have become far less important to... 25th February 2022 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Chart Pack Signs of life in NYC; Greater LA industrial set to boom This is our first US Commercial Property Metros Chart Book, which forms part of a set of publications that extends our existing analysis to a wider set of metros. As well as greater coverage of office... 24th February 2022 · 6 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response New Home Sales (Jan.) After two strong months new home sales edged back in January and may dip further early in the year as the surge in borrowers who sought to buy prior to further interest rate rises washes through. But... 24th February 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Markets Markets right to bet on interest rates peaking at 2.00% Our forecast that lingering price pressures will prompt the Bank of England to raise interest rates from 0.50% now to a peak of 2.00% next year suggests there is little scope for market interest rate... 24th February 2022 · 12 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Emerging Europe: All-property values jump in Q4 Sharp falls in property yields and an improvement in rental growth pushed CEE all-property values in Q4 up almost 5% q/q, the strongest quarterly growth rate since 2007. This was largely driven by the... 24th February 2022 · 6 mins read
UK Housing Market Chart Pack Homeowners to keep on moving in 2022 Homeowners appear to be pressing ahead with plans to move house even though stamp duty is now fully reinstated. Transactions inevitably dipped last October as sales were rushed through in September to... 23rd February 2022 · 8 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Dec.) Annual house price growth held steady in December, with prices up 18.8% over 2021. But with mortgage rates now at their highest since July 2019, affordability constraints will soon cut the amount... 22nd February 2022 · 2 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Scandinavia & Switzerland: Less scope for yield falls There was a material improvement in the Scandinavian and Swiss property markets over 2021. Prime office and industrial capital value growth accelerated. And while prime retail values still declined... 21st February 2022 · 6 mins read
Asset Allocation Long-Term Outlook High inflation, tight monetary policy, valuations and returns Although the Fed is poised to step on the brakes to tackle the highest rate of inflation in four decades, we don’t expect the yields of US equities and Treasuries to rise to anywhere near their peaks... 18th February 2022 · 21 mins read
US Housing Market Data Response Existing Home Sales (Jan.) Existing home sales jumped 6.7% m/m in January, but that gain is likely to prove short-lived. Strong activity over the turn of the year is due to households rushing to buy to lock in a low mortgage... 18th February 2022 · 2 mins read
UK Commercial Property Outlook Property recovery moves down a gear The worst of the Omicron wave appears to have passed and we expect growth to rebound later this year, albeit weighed down by weak consumer income growth. But persistently high inflation is now set to... 18th February 2022 · 26 mins read