UK Commercial Property Valuation Monitor UK Commercial Property Valuation Monitor (Q3 23) A small rise in property yields in Q2 was not enough to offset a surge in alternative asset yields, particularly the 10-year gilt, and as a result valuations worsened. 9th August 2023 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will the Olympics boost Paris prime retail rents? While Paris rents have been flat for some time, there are signs that the post-pandemic rebound in tourism is starting to boost high street luxury retail. And the upcoming Paris Olympics in 2024 will... 8th August 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response Halifax House Prices (July 2023) With mortgage rates rising to around 6% in July, it was no surprise that the slide in the Halifax house price index continued. Although there might be a modest fall in mortgage rates in the near term... 7th August 2023 · 2 mins read
UK Housing Market Outlook Renewed falls in activity and house prices imminent Our forecast that the Bank of England won’t start cutting interest rates until the second half of 2024 means mortgage rates are likely to stay between 5.5% and 6.0% for the next 12 months. That will... 4th August 2023 · 20 mins read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI (Jul 23) The headline CIPS construction PMI resumed its upward trend in July, with the rise to 51.7 more than reversing the drop into contractionary territory in June. 4th August 2023 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Update Why we still expect 15% falls in industrial and apartment values Despite capital value falls of 7% and 9% to-date for industrial and apartments respectively, we are forecasting around 15% further value declines as cap rates rise. But the falls in appraisal-based... 3rd August 2023 · 3 mins read
China Economics Update China’s property sector is increasingly state-led The property downturn has left state-owned developers the dominant players in a previously privately-led sector. The state is likely to continue playing a larger role as consolidation continues around... 3rd August 2023 · 3 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Addressing key questions from our offices Drop-In We recently held a Drop-in titled “Office Sector Armageddon – Who gets hit hardest?”, which you can view on-demand here. This Update addresses some of the specific European questions we received... 3rd August 2023 · 3 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Jul.) June’s rebound in mortgage applications for home purchase was short-lived as total applications fell by 1.7% in July. This pushed applications back down toward 30-year lows and was probably prompted... 2nd August 2023 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Offices drop-in: Answers to client questions Last week, we held a Drop-In on the future of office property. This Update provides answers for a variety of questions from a UK perspective that emerged from the discussion. 2nd August 2023 · 4 mins read
China Economics Update China’s weakness due to further slide in trend growth We estimate that China’s trend rate of growth has slowed from 5.0% in 2019 to 3.0% now, based on our China Activity Proxy. This is a steeper deceleration than in the years leading up to the emergence... 2nd August 2023 · 5 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will the surge in Warsaw industrial rents continue? Warsaw industrial rents have seen an unprecedented surge in recent months on the back of strong demand and supply constraints due to the war in Ukraine. And while growth is set to slow significantly... 1st August 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Housing Market Rapid Response Nationwide House Prices (Jul.) The slight fall in house prices in July is the first sign of the surge in mortgage rates since mid-May taking its toll. As we expect mortgage rates to remain around their current level for the next 12... 1st August 2023 · 3 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Jul. 23) China's reopening recovery has fizzled out and the economy is now at risk of slipping into a recession. We think policymakers will provide enough stimulus to avoid this and deliver a modest... 31st July 2023 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response Lending to commercial property (Jun. 23) Net lending to commercial property was once again positive in June at £589m. The continued growth in lending to property contrasts with a contraction in overall sterling lending. Indeed, over the past... 31st July 2023 · 1 min read
