Europe Commercial Property Update Rising vacancy to drag on Brussels office rent growth After a lacklustre 2022, the Brussels prime office market has had a brighter start to 2023, as rent growth accelerated while it slowed elsewhere in the euro-zone. But with a cooling jobs market set to... 10th July 2023 · 3 mins read
US Commercial Property Office Metros Outlook San Francisco and Seattle values to drop 40% in 2023-25 Further downgrades to our national office outlook have driven corresponding cuts to return prospects in our metro-level forecasts this quarter. San Francisco still has the poorest outlook, with our... 7th July 2023 · 12 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Economics Weekly Saudi oil, UAE energy & mortgages, Morocco GDP The announcement by Saudi Arabia that it will roll over its voluntary 1mn bpd oil output cut through August has led us to downwardly revise our GDP growth forecast for this year. The UAE has been much... 6th July 2023 · 8 mins read
UK Housing Market Update An uneven hit from higher mortgage rates The shift to fixed mortgage rates and the rise in the number of homes owned outright means that while some borrowers face a sharp rise in mortgage payments other homeowners will sit out this interest... 6th July 2023 · 5 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Jun.) A slight decline in mortgage rates allowed mortgage applications for home purchase to recover from the previous month’s lows in June. That said, applications remain below the average seen so far this... 6th July 2023 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Rapid Response S&P Global/CIPS Construction PMI (Jun 23) After two months of gains the headline CIPS construction PMI reversed course in May, dropping to a five-month low of 48.9, which indicated a contraction in activity. 6th July 2023 · 2 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Update Pandemic impacts on physical office occupancy The pandemic-induced shift towards homeworking caused a sharp fall in physical office occupancy rates. They have since recovered significantly but remain below pre-pandemic levels. And while lower... 6th July 2023 · 3 mins read
UK Commercial Property Update Why has property lending held up? The recent strength of net lending to commercial property can’t be explained by a rise in investment. Instead, we suspect some investors are borrowing against older assets to provide additional equity... 5th July 2023 · 3 mins read
Climate Economics Update Key questions from our Climate Drop-In We recently held a Drop-in titled “Industry’s decarbonisation challenge – From aviation to property”, which you can view on-demand here. This Update addresses some of the questions we received during... 3rd July 2023 · 7 mins read
Europe Commercial Property Outlook Price falls slowing but poor rent outlook to drag on recovery The slowdown in rent growth at the start of this year is likely to persist given the weak economic backdrop. And although the property price correction has slowed, we think stretched valuations will... 3rd July 2023 · 35 mins read
China Chart Pack China Chart Pack (Jun. 2023) This new Chart Pack has been designed to replace our Chart Book in response to client feedback to make our insights more accessible, and with more options to incorporate them into your workflow. Use... 30th June 2023 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Flight to quality limited to offices The recent fall in commercial property values has not driven a flight to quality in either the retail or industrial sectors. But there has been a sharp rise in the office non-prime/prime spread, as... 30th June 2023 · 4 mins read
US Commercial Property Outlook Capital values to fall by another 15%, offices to fare worse The effects of March’s regional bank failures have yet to come through in the performance data, but transaction volumes have fallen off a cliff. Signs of distress in offices are growing as the sector... 29th June 2023 · 20 mins read
