Latin America Economics Update Two-speed tightening cycle underway With the recovery well underway in most parts of Latin America the monetary tightening cycle has begun in some parts of the region. Policymakers in Brazil are in the midst of an aggressive tightening... 14th June 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Markets hammered by flight to safety Financial markets across the region have been hammered by a flight to safety over the past month as concerns about fiscal sustainability in the euro-zone have reached fever pitch. Equities, currencies... 28th May 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Brazil to hike again, despite market turmoil A clear divergence in the outlook for monetary policy across the region has opened up over the past month. Policymakers in Brazil have signalled that they will act aggressively to calm fears about... 25th May 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Fundamentals remain good but growth set to slow in 2011 (Q2 10) The economic resurgence in Latin America is likely to stay strong for a while yet. Brazil and Peru should remain the region’s best performers – we expect both to expand by 6% this year. Mexico, Chile... 10th May 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Divergences in the inflation outlook open up With growth prospects in Latin America starting to diverge, the outlook for inflation varies between countries. In Brazil, the rapid recovery from last year’s relatively shallow recession has caused a... 30th April 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Brazil set to begin tightening monetary policy Interest rate hikes in the region are imminent. We think that a 50bps hike in Brazil this month is almost a done deal, with Peru is likely to follow suit in June. Meanwhile Colombia, and now Chile... 16th April 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Brazil continues to lead the way Brazil’s recovery continues to impress. GDP expanded by 2.0% q/q in the final quarter of last year and all the signs are that growth has remained strong in recent months. That said, concerns are... 29th March 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Focus How quickly will Brazil raise interest rates? Last night’s decision to keep Brazilian interest rates unchanged at 8.75% was in line with our forecast but against that of the consensus, which had expected a 50bps hike. Yet the debate over the... 18th March 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Tightening cycle nears but rate hikes will be moderate Interest rate hikes in the region are drawing near. It’s a close call, but we expect the Central Bank of Brazil to stay on hold this month and begin raising interest rates in April instead. Peru and... 12th March 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Markets rattled by concerns over the global recovery Although the economic recovery in Latin America is building momentum, financial markets experienced a turbulent month and sold off sharply on concerns about the sustainability of the global recovery... 25th February 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Brazil edges towards first rate hike All inflation targeting economies in the region rebounded strongly in the second half of 2009, and should continue to grow at a decent pace in the first half of this year. At the same time, a spike in... 17th February 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Weak global recovery to expose sharp country divisions (Q1 10) The recovery in Latin America’s resurgent economy is likely to stay strong for a quarter or two longer. But we expect growth to fade over the second half of this year and into 2011 as the global... 15th February 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Chart Pack Inflation remains benign despite clear signs of recovery The economic recovery in Latin America is well underway but, in most countries at least, there is little evidence of a build-up in price pressures. Indeed, headline inflation fell in Mexico, Colombia... 29th January 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Modest monetary tightening to begin in Q2 The recovery in Latin America is building momentum and all inflation-targeting economies in the region will post strong annual growth rates in the first half of this year. Meanwhile, there is a good... 20th January 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Focus Brazil: primed for take-off or doomed to disappoint? The outlook for Brazil is good – but not as good as many investors now seem to believe. We expect the economic recovery to continue at a decent pace over the coming months. However, growth will... 13th January 2010 · 1 min read
Latin America Economics Update Brazil: Disappointing industrial production not a disaster On the face of it, the 5.1% y/y rise in Brazilian industrial production in November is good news. But the impressive annual growth rate masks a monthly drop of -0.2%. While we wouldn’t read too much... 6th January 2010 · 1 min read
