Europe Commercial Property Update Weaker retail outlook to hold Dublin rents With consumer spending growth slowing and the boost to households from rising house prices fading, we think that prime high street rents in Dublin are likely to plateau over the next couple of years. 26th February 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Italy and Spain diverge, Brexit risks and Ireland At the end of last year, Italy fell back into recession but Spain’s economic growth rate accelerated. We think that this divergence will continue. Next week is a quieter one for data releases; we... 1st February 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Focus What a no-deal Brexit would mean for Ireland The latest twists in the Brexit saga suggest to us that the UK is most likely to stay in the EU beyond 29th March and leave later in the year with some kind of deal. If so, we think Ireland’s GDP... 30th January 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook Missing the global tightening cycle The euro-zone should regain some momentum in the coming months, at least compared to its dire performance at the end of last year. But we think the economy will expand by just 1% in 2019 as a whole... 18th January 2019 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Pick-up in Dublin industrial rental growth won’t last Industrial rental growth in Dublin has accelerated this year. But as softer economic growth ahead dampens occupier demand, this increase in rental growth will prove temporary. 30th November 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Dublin office rents set to fall on rising vacancy Dublin’s large office pipeline has started to push vacancy higher, in spite of strong take-up volumes. As occupier demand softens, further increases in vacancy will start to put downward pressure on... 26th October 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook Modest slowdown masks large divergences Prospects for Europe have deteriorated somewhat as slowing global demand has begun to affect exports and a sharp rise in bond yields has darkened the outlook for Italy. Some of the major players... 17th October 2018 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economic Outlook SNB lagging behind in the monetary tightening cycle Economic growth in Switzerland and across the Nordics looks set to remain pretty strong over the coming years. But inflationary pressures vary significantly between countries. We think that central... 20th July 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Ireland is faring better than GDP data suggest Ireland’s GDP contracted in Q1, but this tells us next to nothing about the underlying state of the economy. Other indicators are much more encouraging and, despite some big risks to the outlook, we... 19th July 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Signs point to slower Dublin industrial rental growth Prime industrial rents in Dublin jumped by close to 5% in Q1, driven by strong demand. But with Ireland’s economy cooling, and the prospect of increased speculative development, the easing in the rate... 5th July 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Are we too optimistic on Dublin retail rents? Q1 data indicate a rise in prime Dublin retail rents, following last year’s stagnation. With strong demand and supply fundamentals, we think rents will rise further over the next couple of years, but... 11th May 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Irish GDP (Q4) Ireland’s GDP had another very strong year in 2017. While that tells us little about actual economic activity taking place in the country, other more reliable indicators suggest that the economy... 15th March 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update How well is Ireland's economy really performing? Ireland’s national accounts are notoriously unreliable as indicators of domestic economic activity, but alternative indicators suggest that the economy is performing well. Looking ahead, while growth... 13th February 2018 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Calling time on the recovery in Dublin office rents The last five years have seen prime office rents in Dublin fully recover from their post-crisis lows. But we now think that a lower natural rate of vacancy and growing pipeline will see rents start to... 6th February 2018 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Denmark weak in Q3, Sweden powered ahead The Nordic and Swiss Q3 GDP data revealed large differences between the best and worst performing economies. A quarterly contraction of 0.6% meant that Denmark underperformed the rest of the pack by a... 12th December 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update What would a “hard border” mean for Ireland? A so-called “hard border” between Ireland and the UK could hit the Irish economy pretty hard. But it would also present some opportunities, for example from UK financial firms relocating to Dublin. 29th November 2017 · 1 min read
