Europe Economics Update Support would not solve all Ireland's problems It seems increasingly likely that Ireland may soon bow to pressure and ask for financial support. But while such an outcome may temporarily settle the markets, the fundamental picture will remain... 16th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Can anything save Ireland from a Greek tragedy? The further rise in Irish bond yields over recent days has intensified speculation that Ireland will soon be forced to follow Greece in turning to international financial support. Is there anything... 11th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Ireland's fiscal squeeze unlikely to calm markets' nerves We doubt that next year’s €6bn fiscal squeeze will be enough to ensure that the Irish Government’s 2011 budget deficit goal will be met. This, combined with rising political uncertainty and surging... 4th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Are Ireland and Portugal about to turn to the EFSF? There are reasons to think that Portugal and Ireland will not follow Greece in seeking financial support in the very near future. But there are still major doubts over their ability to address their... 4th November 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Will the proposed Irish budget cuts be big enough? The Irish Government’s announcement that it will implement an additional fiscal squeeze worth €7.5bn (4.8% of GDP) over the next four years is a big step in the right direction. But we think that... 27th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Weekly Ireland: Closure or Calamity? The Irish Government deserves some credit for coming clean last week on the “horrendous” costs of its banking support measures, although its openness may have been dictated as much by public... 4th October 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Ireland takes a small step back from the brink The Irish Government’s announcement on the costs of rescuing its banks appears to have provided the markets with some reassurance for now. But with the banking sector still fragile and the economy... 30th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Is Ireland on the brink? The recent run of disappointing news from Ireland means that public debt is looking increasingly likely to reach Greek proportions, suggesting that the Irish Government may eventually be left with... 28th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Ireland's property market is a long way from recovery Yesterday’s disappointing Q2 Irish GDP figures support our view that the economy will stagnate at best over this year and next. Although commercial property prices have already fallen by more than 70%... 24th September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Ireland GDP (Q2) Ireland’s disappointing GDP figures for Q2 support our view that the economy is a long way from staging a sustained recovery and will do nothing to ease markets’ fears about the health of the Irish... 23rd September 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Ireland GDP (Q1) Ireland exited recession with a bang in Q1, suggesting that the impact of fiscal tightening there and in the rest of the periphery may be less than generally feared. But the improving outlook largely... 30th June 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update What can we learn from Ireland? On the face of it, there are signs that Ireland may be about to exit recession. But any recovery will be down to its exceptionally strong trade links with non-euro-zone economies, rather than any... 24th May 2010 · 1 min read
UK Commercial Property Update Will Irish bank rescue plan derail commercial property recovery? With Irish investors having been such big players during the most recent commercial property boom across Europe, there are now concerns (highlighted, for example, in a recent Property Week) that the... 13th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Will Irish bank rescue plan derail commercial property recovery? With Irish investors having been such big players during the most recent commercial property boom across Europe, there are now concerns (highlighted, for example, in a recent Property Week) that the... 13th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Ireland’s problems still far from over Yesterday’s announcement of a raft of measures aimed to lift the troubled Irish banking sector from its knees, was an important step towards ending the economic slump. But the economy faces other... 31st March 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Ireland GDP (Q4) Q4’s Irish GDP figures, showing the economy still mired in a deep recession, underline the prolonged and painful adjustments likely to be faced by the euro-zone’s fiscally challenged economies. 25th March 2010 · 1 min read