Europe Commercial Property Update Could a soft housing market slow Oslo retail rents? The improving economic environment in Norway, coupled with strong urban population growth, as well as low inflation and interest rates, will support real retail rental growth in Oslo high streets in... 16th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Inflation pressures weak apart from in Sweden The inflation data for September suggest that underlying price pressures remained subdued in most of the Nordic and Swiss countries, apart from Sweden. 13th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Norwegian and Danish Consumer Prices (Sep.) While Norwegian inflation picked up in September, domestic price pressures remain subdued and inflation is unlikely to meet the Norges Bank’s target any time soon. We therefore think that interest... 10th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update How will the SNB respond to ECB tapering? The Swiss National Bank will surely welcome the likely announcement later this month by the European Central Bank that it will wind up its asset purchase programme next year. This will probably help... 5th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Government collapse triggers Icelandic market sell-off Bond yields across the Nordic and Swiss economies rose in September, largely in line with global trends as investors brought forward their expectations for monetary policy normalisation by the US Fed... 29th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Interest rate hikes in Norway a very long way off The Norges Bank today raised its interest rate forecast, implying that it will begin tightening monetary policy mid-way through 2019. By contrast, we think that it will wait until 2020. 21st September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Central Bank Watch Norges Bank to signal no rate hike until 2019 The Norges Bank is likely to leave the key policy rate at 0.50% next week, and we think that it will also leave its interest rate forecast unchanged, showing no change in rates until 2019. Although... 14th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Q2 GDP data a mixed bag, but timelier data look strong The Q2 GDP data for the Nordic and Swiss economies were a mixed bag, but more timely indicators point to a strong second half of the year. 13th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Norwegian Consumer Prices (Aug.) In August, inflation in Norway fell further below the Norges Bank’s target. While inflation should stop falling by the end of the year, it will rebound only slowly. So interest rate hikes are a very... 11th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update What will Norway’s election mean for the economy? Polls suggest that the Green Party might emerge from Norway’s general election, on 11th September, as “kingmaker”. In that case, confidence in the large oil sector would probably fall. But overall, we... 4th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Nordic and Swiss bond yields decline Bond yields in most Nordic and Swiss markets fell in August, matching global trends. Currencies recorded mixed performances against the euro, with the Swiss franc depreciating while the Swedish krona... 1st September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Aug.) & Finnish GDP (Q2) August’s manufacturing PMIs pointed to continued recoveries in Switzerland and Norway, but the Swedish index weakened significantly. That said, with other indicators suggesting that the Swedish... 1st September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Norway GDP & Swiss Ind. Prod. (Q2) & Sweden Unemploy’t (Jul.) Norway’s mainland economy recorded another strong expansion in Q2 and forward-looking indicators suggest that the recovery will continue to gain pace. But with inflation set to fall further, we doubt... 24th August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Geopolitical tensions halt Swiss franc’s slide The Swiss franc has had a rocky ride over the past month. In late July, it depreciated sharply to SFr1.15 to the euro, its lowest level since January 2015 when the Swiss National Bank abandoned its... 11th August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Norwegian & Danish Consumer Prices (Jul.) Inflation in Norway continued on its downward trend in July, and it is likely to fall a little further over the rest of the year. We think that it will remain well below target over the next few years... 10th August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Swiss franc set for further small depreciation The Swiss franc was the worst performing major currency last month. While the franc’s depreciation has been stronger than we had anticipated, we still see it depreciating a little further against the... 3rd August 2017 · 1 min read
