Nordic & Swiss Data Response Norway GDP (Q2) While Sweden’s light-touch response to Covid has hogged the headlines, data released this morning show that the Norwegian economy outperformed its Nordic cousin in the first half of the year, and is... 25th August 2020 · 2 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Scandinavia & Switzerland: Retail not off the hook yet Q2 data was a mixed bag as all markets recorded shifts in yields while only a handful of markets saw moves in rents. That said, Scandinavian investment activity took a significant hit in Q2, and... 24th August 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Norges Bank set for a prolonged period at zero This morning’s decision by the Norges Bank to leave its key interest rates on hold at zero was never really in doubt. We still think it more likely than not that the Bank will leave rates on hold... 20th August 2020 · 3 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Recovery on track after comparatively shallow slump Compared to many of the larger euro-zone countries, the coronavirus remains relatively well under control in the Nordic countries and Switzerland. With the exception of Denmark, there are at this... 13th August 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Central Bank Watch Norges Bank to maintain the status quo The Norges Bank will almost certainly leave its key interest rate on hold at zero next Thursday (20th August), and we expect it to reiterate that it is in no rush to tighten policy. 13th August 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Norway & Denmark Consumer Prices (Jul.) The lagged impact of exchange rate movements will ensure that inflation remains above the Norges Bank’s target throughout the second half of this year. However, this effect will fade in early-2021 and... 10th August 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Swedish experience dashes hopes of rapid recoveries The fact that the contraction in Swedish GDP in Q2 was smaller than elsewhere in Europe understandably took the headlines this week. However, Sweden’s experience still demonstrates the extent to which... 7th August 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland CPI (July), Manufacturing PMIs (July) Inflation in Switzerland now appears to have troughed, but it is set to remain frustratingly weak over the coming years and a headache for the SNB. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMIs from July suggest... 3rd August 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Norway Consumer Prices (Jun.) Previous falls in the krone will ensure that inflation stays above the Norges Bank’s target throughout H2. Nonetheless, this effect will fade in early-2021 and policymakers will be in no rush to raise... 10th July 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Norway experiencing a shallow “U” The pick-up in mainland Norwegian GDP in May was a tad underwhelming, with the economy’s recovery now seeming to follow a shallow “U” rather than the deep “V” seen in the euro-zone. Nonetheless, the... 8th July 2020 · 3 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Nordic consumers making up for lost time The fact that retail sales volumes grew in year-on-year terms in the Nordic economies in May suggests that the Covid-related drops in consumption may end up being much smaller than we have assumed up... 26th June 2020 · 6 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Scandi & Swiss: Yield rises to reverse, except for retail The sharp reduction in economic activity over the first half of the year and prolonged uncertainty have negatively impacted investment activity and occupier demand. We expect this will flow through to... 26th June 2020 · 18 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Revised forecasts; policy stasis; football is back! Amid increasing signs that the Nordic economies have weathered the Covid crisis better than most we have upgraded our forecasts for GDP growth, and expect some clear daylight between growth in Sweden... 19th June 2020 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update SNB & Norges Bank to maintain the status quo This morning’s decisions by the SNB and the Norges Bank to leave interest rates on hold at -0.75% and zero respectively were never really in doubt. Both banks are set to leave policy unchanged... 18th June 2020 · 3 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Nordic economies closer to ‘normal’ than most The latest high frequency data indicate that economic activity in the Nordic economies has continued to recover in recent weeks, with trips to shops and restaurants now close to pre-crisis levels in... 12th June 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Sweden is weathering Covid comparatively well The 11% peak-to-trough drop in Swedish household consumption between February and April puts paid to any notion that Sweden has escaped unscathed following its light-touch lockdown. Nonetheless, the... 12th June 2020 · 4 mins read
