Nordic & Swiss Central Bank Watch Low inflation cements Riksbank loosening As inflation was a touch weaker in November than the Riksbank anticipated, monetary policy is set to be loosened further. While we expect the Riksbank to announce an extension of QE, the already-weak... 13th December 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Decent economic growth but challenges lie ahead The Nordic and Swiss economies generally recorded positive growth in Q3 and look set to do so again in Q4. But with growth in their main trading partner, the euro-zone, set to slow and a number of... 7th December 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Industrial & Services Production (Oct.) Swedish industrial and services output started Q4 on a fairly weak note, but forward-looking indicators also released this morning were more positive. As such, it still seems likely that Swedish GDP... 5th December 2016 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook CEE yields to fall faster and for longer As in the euro-zone, monetary policy is set to stay loose in the rest of Europe keeping real estate attractive. That said, the current phase of falling yields is set to end in 2019 in Western European... 2nd December 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update External market drivers Trump domestic factors The election of Donald Trump in the US drove large moves in Nordic and Swiss financial markets last month, with currencies generally depreciating against the US dollar while long-term bond yields... 1st December 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Nov.) November’s PMIs suggest that Swiss and Swedish manufacturers are performing well, while their Norwegian and Danish counterparts are still lagging behind. 1st December 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish GDP (Q3, 1st Estimate) Sweden’s decent economic expansion in Q3 masks a sharp slowdown in domestic demand growth. But with survey indicators pointing to a renewed acceleration in GDP growth in Q4, that slowdown looks set to... 29th November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Economic Tendency Survey (Nov.) The Economic Tendency Indicator now points to annual Swedish GDP growth of over 4%, while consumers’ inflation expectations have also jumped. Both factors suggest that any further loosening by the... 24th November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Focus Riksbank will have to tighten policy next year Swedish inflation is set to rise sharply over the next year. As such, the Riksbank’s intention to loosen monetary policy further seems like a mistake and any additional interest rate cuts will have to... 22nd November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Latest data highlight varying inflation outlooks October’s consumer prices data highlight the contrasting inflation outlooks in Sweden, Switzerland and Norway. In Sweden, consumer price inflation picked up to its strongest rate in four-and-a-half... 18th November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Consumer Prices (Oct.) October’s rise in inflation was driven almost entirely by energy effects whileunderlying measures of inflation remain weak. As such, the Riksbank seems all butcertain to loosen monetary policy at its... 15th November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Riksbank minutes support expectations of QE extension Today’s minutes showed broad support for an extension of the Riksbank’s government bond purchase programme. Combined with the uncertainty created by Donald Trump’s victory in the US, an extension of... 9th November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Trump win could widen policy divergence next year We suspect that the Nordic and Swiss economies will see limited effects from Mr Trump’s victory. Butit makes monetary policy divergence between Switzerland and Sweden next year slightly more likely. 9th November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update What will the US election mean for the Nordic and Swiss economies? The importance of international trade to the Nordics and Switzerland, as well as the franc’s role as a safe haven, mean that the outcome of the US election is potentially important to the region. This... 8th November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Sweden’s Riksbank takes centre stage The most noteworthy market developments last month were prompted by expectations of further policy loosening from Sweden’s Riksbank, with the krona depreciating sharply last month as a result... 3rd November 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Production Indices (Sep.) and Services PMI (Oct.) September’s sharp rise in Swedish industrial production suggests that August’s large fall was due to one-off effects. Looking ahead, the rise in the services PMI supports the message from earlier... 3rd November 2016 · 1 min read
