Nordic & Swiss Data Response Norway GDP & Swiss Ind. Prod. (Q2) & Sweden Unemploy’t (Jul.) Norway’s mainland economy recorded another strong expansion in Q2 and forward-looking indicators suggest that the recovery will continue to gain pace. But with inflation set to fall further, we doubt... 24th August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Has Swedish inflation actually picked up? In recent months Swedish inflation has been artificially boosted by a new method for calculating package holiday prices. While the Riksbank will look through this particular effect, it is nevertheless... 22nd August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Consumer Prices (Jul.) & Finnish GDP (Q2) July’s jump in Swedish inflation is partly due to a methodological change in the way that package holiday prices are tracked. Yet even excluding this effect, underlying inflation has picked up and... 15th August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Geopolitical tensions halt Swiss franc’s slide The Swiss franc has had a rocky ride over the past month. In late July, it depreciated sharply to SFr1.15 to the euro, its lowest level since January 2015 when the Swiss National Bank abandoned its... 11th August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Industrial & Services Production (Jun.) The Swedish industrial and services sectors have been performing well of late and the outlook is positive. With the Swedish economy firing on all cylinders, it won’t be long until the Riksbank changes... 10th August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish & Norwegian Manufacturing PMIs (Jul.) July’s Swedish and Norwegian manufacturing PMIs point to a continued pick-up in industrial output growth in both countries. But the Swedish survey’s price index implies some downside risks to... 1st August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Swedish political scandal lowers chance of tax hikes After last week’s political scandal, Sweden’s Government needs to boost its popularity. So the Government seems likely to row back from planned tax hikes ahead of next year’s general election. 31st July 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish GDP (Q2) & Swiss KOF (Jul.) Sweden’s exceptionally strong GDP growth was driven entirely by domestic demand and highlights the need for monetary policy normalisation. Meanwhile, July’s rise in the Swiss KOF points to a pick-up... 28th July 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Economic Tendency Survey (July) & Labour Data (June) Both the Swedish Economic Tendency Survey and labour market indicators point to increasing wage and price pressures. This supports our view that the Riksbank and markets are underestimating how soon... 27th July 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economic Outlook Sweden to lead the way with monetary tightening Economic prospects are fairly bright in the Nordic and Swiss countries. Switzerland is benefitting from faster growth in the euro-zone, Swedish firms are optimistic about their prospects, and Norway... 21st July 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Economic Outlook Euro-zone will continue to impress The European economies are still in good shape, with the euro-zone benefitting from reduced political uncertainty and high levels of business and consumer confidence. We think that this strong... 19th July 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update How will the Riksbank react to the strengthening krona? The krona’s recent rise means that exchange rate effects will detract from Swedish inflation in 2018. But with domestic inflation set to rise further above 2%, this should not prevent the Riksbank... 17th July 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Inflation pressures limited apart from in Sweden The latest inflation data for June suggest that underlying price pressures remain subdued in Switzerland and Norway, but continue to build in Sweden. In Switzerland, core inflation, which excludes... 14th July 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Consumer Prices (Jun.) As underlying inflation is within touching distance of the Riksbank’s target, today’s rise in the krona should be followed by further gains as the remaining doves on the Executive Board come round to... 13th July 2017 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update Investors moving up the risk curve in Sweden Strong economic growth in Sweden means that, with only a limited quantity of prime product for sale, investors are being pushed up the risk curve in order to get their capital into the market. 7th July 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Industrial & Services Production (May) & Serv. PMI (Jun.) While both industrial and services output grew in May, both sectors are set to record weaker growth in Q2 than in Q1. But as the monthly data were a poor guide to GDP growth in Q1, we are inclined to... 5th July 2017 · 1 min read
