Nordic & Swiss Central Bank Watch Riksbank on hold ahead of ECB The Riksbank is unlikely to shift its policy stance until it sees firmer signals of the outlook for policy in the euro-zone. So despite above-target inflation in Sweden, we do not expect the Riksbank... 19th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Inflation pressures weak apart from in Sweden The inflation data for September suggest that underlying price pressures remained subdued in most of the Nordic and Swiss countries, apart from Sweden. 13th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Consumer Prices (Sep.) Inflation remained above the Riksbank’s target in September and, with the economy performing strongly, domestic price pressures will continue to build. We therefore expect the Riksbank to start... 12th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update How will the SNB respond to ECB tapering? The Swiss National Bank will surely welcome the likely announcement later this month by the European Central Bank that it will wind up its asset purchase programme next year. This will probably help... 5th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swiss CPI (Sep.) & Swedish Industrial Prod. (Aug.) The rise in Swiss headline inflation in September will be welcomed by the Swiss National Bank, but subdued price pressures mean we expect the SNB to keep rates on hold until 2020. Elsewhere, Swedish... 5th October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Sep.) September’s Swiss and Swedish manufacturing PMIs both rose to high levels. But while fairly strong growth is unlikely to push inflation up in Switzerland, price pressures are mounting in Sweden. 2nd October 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Sweden Economic Tendency Survey (Sep.) In September a sharp rise in manufacturing sentiment drove the Swedish Economic Tendency Indicator to its highest since 2011. With the growth outlook strong and inflation expectations rebounding, we... 27th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Minutes show doves still rule the Riksbank roost Today’s Riksbank minutes suggest that at least two of the six Board members would support an extension of the Riksbank’s QE programme beyond the current December end date. But given our forecast for... 21st September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Q2 GDP data a mixed bag, but timelier data look strong The Q2 GDP data for the Nordic and Swiss economies were a mixed bag, but more timely indicators point to a strong second half of the year. 13th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Consumer Prices (Aug.) Inflation was above both the Riksbank’s forecast and its target in August. With the strengthening economy suggesting that inflationary pressure is building, we think that the Riksbank will soon start... 12th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Riksbank’s forward guidance unchanged despite high inflation While inflation in Sweden is higher than the Riksbank’s 2% target, the Bank’s decision to keep its forward guidance unchanged was not a major shock. The Riksbank is unlikely to shift its guidance... 7th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Industrial & Services Production (Jul.) A large gain in services output offset a fall in industrial production in July and suggests that overall the Swedish economy started Q3 on a fairly strong note. While the PMI surveys point to slower... 6th September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Nordic and Swiss bond yields decline Bond yields in most Nordic and Swiss markets fell in August, matching global trends. Currencies recorded mixed performances against the euro, with the Swiss franc depreciating while the Swedish krona... 1st September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Aug.) & Finnish GDP (Q2) August’s manufacturing PMIs pointed to continued recoveries in Switzerland and Norway, but the Swedish index weakened significantly. That said, with other indicators suggesting that the Swedish... 1st September 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Central Bank Watch Riksbank on pause despite above-target inflation Economic growth and inflation have been stronger than expected since the Riksbank last met. Despite these developments, policymaker’s concerns about a sharp rise in the krona suggest that the Bank... 31st August 2017 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swiss KOF & Swedish Economic Tendency Indicators (Aug.) Falls Although surveys of overall economic sentiment in both Switzerland and Sweden fell in August, they still point to a healthy pace of GDP growth in both countries. But with inflation much stronger in... 30th August 2017 · 1 min read