Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Denmark ahead on the long road back to normality The estimates of Q1 GDP that have been released so far have been subject to all manner of health warnings and are liable to be revised, potentially significantly, over the coming quarters. Nonetheless... 14th May 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly External demand to constrain Sweden’s recovery While there are welcome signs that Sweden has reaped some benefits from its light-touch lockdown, the economy will be constrained by the recovery in the rest of the continent given its dependence on... 7th May 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Sweden GDP (Q1) & Switzerland CPI (Apr.) The comparatively small fall in Swedish GDP in Q1 appears to owe as much to a strong January and February as Sweden’s lighter-touch lockdown. Accordingly, today’s data underplay the scale of the... 5th May 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Apr.) While Sweden’s less stringent lockdown has received a lot of attention, today’s data add to the evidence that economic activity there has not fared much better than elsewhere in Europe. 4th May 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Surveys at their limits; Norges Bank to cut to zero While the KOF Economic Barometer registered its largest monthly fall on record in April, like many other indicators elsewhere, it is struggling to capture the unprecedented scale of damage wreaked by... 1st May 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swiss KOF Economic Barometer (Apr.) Despite registering its largest monthly fall on record in April, the KOF Economic Barometer appears to underplay the havoc that has been wreaked on the Swiss economy. While the government has begun to... 30th April 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economic Outlook Comparatively well placed to weather the carnage Low levels of government debt mean that Switzerland and the Nordic economies are comparatively well placed to withstand the acute stresses being placed on the public finances – particularly compared... 21st April 2020 · 16 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly The gradual process of reopening begins While activity in the Swiss economy has fallen off a cliff, the stereotypical efficiency with which loans have been channelled to businesses means that the country is well placed to recover. Next week... 17th April 2020 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly The Ides of March do it again The ramp-up in containment measures in mid-March dealt a huge blow to the Norwegian economy. While restrictions will start to be lifted slowly later this month, we think that it is increasingly likely... 9th April 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Scale of the economic carnage is becoming apparent The scale of the economic damage in Switzerland and the Nordics following the imposition of draconian virus-related containment measures is becoming all too apparent. Business surveys have plunged... 8th April 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Carnage in the Swiss labour market The fact that almost one-third of the Swiss workforce has reportedly applied for short-time work is a sobering illustration of the scale of the virus-related economic disruption. While the headline... 7th April 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland CPI (Mar.) Having fallen further into negative territory in March, Swiss inflation is likely to remain below zero for the rest of 2020. This will strengthen policymakers’ resolve to prevent the franc from rising... 2nd April 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Mar.) The eye-watering declines in the manufacturing PMIs for March from Switzerland and the Nordics simply confirm that economic activity has dropped off a cliff following the introduction of containment... 1st April 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update SNB may be forced to live with a stronger franc While the SNB clearly favours using FX interventions to weaken the franc at present, persistent concerns about the size of its balance sheet would make it reticent to step in on an ever-greater scale... 30th March 2020 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swiss KOF Economic Barometer (Mar.) While the Swiss KOF Economic Barometer registered its biggest monthly decline in five years in March, the fact that many of the responses to the survey component of the indicator predated the... 30th March 2020 · 2 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Scandi & Swiss: COVID-19 to drive a plunge in values Given the uncertainty surrounding the impact of COVID-19 on the economy, the hit to real estate markets is still uncertain. The drop in economic output expected in the first half of this year, along... 27th March 2020 · 19 mins read
