Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Fighter jets, wolves, and immigration While Sunday’s vote on restricting freedom of movement between Switzerland and the EU seems unlikely to pass, it puts the strained relations between the Swiss government and the EU back in focus. Next... 25th September 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Update SNB & Norges Bank cook up no change, two ways The fact that policymakers at the SNB and the Norges Bank left policy settings unchanged this morning came as no surprise. Both banks are likely to leave policy unchanged throughout our forecast... 24th September 2020 · 3 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Policymakers to keep their powder dry next week The three scheduled policy meetings next week are unlikely to result in any changes to policy settings. However, we would not be surprised to see the Norges Bank bring forward the projected start-date... 18th September 2020 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Central Bank Watch SNB to hold again; Norges Bank set for hawkish shift We expect the Swiss National Bank and the Norges Bank to both leave their policy settings unchanged next Thursday (24th September). But while the former will no doubt sound as dovish as ever... 17th September 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Central Bank Watch Riksbank to keep policy settings on hold next week After a tweak-laden last policy meeting, the Riksbank is likely to maintain the status quo next Tuesday (22nd September). While there is no burning platform for policy change, we think that the next... 15th September 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Norway’s fading rebound a warning sign for others Given Norway’s decision to re-open its economy comparatively early, its post-lockdown experience has been watched closely for clues as to how other economies could expect to fare. The latest monthly... 11th September 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Norges Bank unlikely to tighten anytime soon While core inflation in Norway rose even further above the Norges Bank’s target in August, things will soon look very different as the inflationary impact of previous falls in the krone fades and goes... 11th September 2020 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Riksbank shrugs off krona surge The Swedish krona has risen the most of any G10 currency against the US dollar this year, but its trade-weighted index is not particularly strong, so policymakers don’t seem to be losing much sleep... 4th September 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland CPI (Aug.) The current bout of deflation in Switzerland is likely to persist well into next year, and will continue to be a headache for the SNB, particularly given the recent rise in the franc against the US... 3rd September 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Aug.) The positive set of August manufacturing PMIs from Switzerland and the Nordics suggests that the recovery in industrial activity continued over the summer. While the fortunes of industry depend in... 1st September 2020 · 2 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly KOF hits decade-high; retail sugar-rush starting to fade The Swiss economy contracted by more than those in the Nordics in the first half of the year but appears to have rebounded strongly in the third quarter. Rising virus cases in the country are... 28th August 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland GDP (Q2) Data released this morning show that the Swiss economy weathered the crisis comparatively well in the first half of the year. While its fortunes are closely tied to those in the euro-zone, signs that... 27th August 2020 · 3 mins read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack Scandinavia & Switzerland: Retail not off the hook yet Q2 data was a mixed bag as all markets recorded shifts in yields while only a handful of markets saw moves in rents. That said, Scandinavian investment activity took a significant hit in Q2, and... 24th August 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Chart Pack Recovery on track after comparatively shallow slump Compared to many of the larger euro-zone countries, the coronavirus remains relatively well under control in the Nordic countries and Switzerland. With the exception of Denmark, there are at this... 13th August 2020 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Swedish experience dashes hopes of rapid recoveries The fact that the contraction in Swedish GDP in Q2 was smaller than elsewhere in Europe understandably took the headlines this week. However, Sweden’s experience still demonstrates the extent to which... 7th August 2020 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Switzerland CPI (July), Manufacturing PMIs (July) Inflation in Switzerland now appears to have troughed, but it is set to remain frustratingly weak over the coming years and a headache for the SNB. Meanwhile, the manufacturing PMIs from July suggest... 3rd August 2020 · 2 mins read