Commodities Update High stocks will overshadow lower cotton production Expectations of lower cotton production for this coming year have underpinned a rise in prices. However, with a glut of stocks, we still think the price will end the year lower. 24th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Asia Cocoa Grindings (Q1 2015) Data on Asia’s Q1 cocoa grindings showed a 9.3% y/y decline, the third consecutive y/y fall. This follows declines announced last week in Europe and North America. 24th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Weather conditions start to take centre stage With eyes now starting to focus on the new crops in the Northern Hemisphere, changes in weather conditions have underpinned fluctuations in many agricultural commodity prices in recent weeks. In... 23rd April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Outlook for cocoa prices remains bitter Further falls in European and North American cocoa grindings suggest consumers’ love of chocolate is not as sweet as it once was. Coupled with ample supply, we expect the price of cocoa to fall this... 17th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Weaker dollar provides a breather Commodity prices have generally risen since the middle of March, supported by a slightly weaker dollar. However, concerns about Chinese demand have weighed on the prices of some commodities... 14th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Oil shrugs off Iran deal A preliminary deal between Iran and the West saw oil prices fall sharply early this week, but they quickly rebounded as it became apparent that the return of Iranian oil exports would be delayed until... 10th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update More bad news for grain & soybean prices The USDA’s latest set of estimates suggest that the global glut of grain and soybeans will be evenlarger. With ample supplies and high stocks, we continue to expect the prices of corn, wheat... 10th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update USDA Weekly Export Sales (2nd Apr.) The latest US weekly data show a net decline in US soybean export sales as new purchases were offset by a large number of cancelled orders. 9th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Agriculturals continue to lag Although agricultural commodity prices have shown a bit of strength in recent weeks, they remain the poor cousin to other commodity groups. Indeed, while the S&P GSCI agriculture index has risen by 2%... 8th April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Calm before the (next) storm? The past week saw relatively little movement in commodity prices compared to the volatility earlier in the year, as the surge in the dollar ran out of steam. The biggest gainers – notably wheat and... 3rd April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Palm oil price to continue falling With ample supply and lower prices of competing vegetable oils, we expect the price of palm oil to fall further this year. 3rd April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Chart Pack Commodities remain in thrall to the dollar The ebb and flow of sentiment towards the US currency continues to be a key driver of commodity markets and especially gold and silver, keeping prices sensitive to the latest US economic data and... 3rd April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Ample US grain and soybean stocks to push prices lower USDA data on grain and soybean stocks continue to indicate a market brimming with supplies. We remain of the view that corn, wheat and soybean prices will fall further this year. 2nd April 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Lumber price to rise despite higher interest rates Despite the likelihood of higher US interest rates this year, demand prospects and mortgage affordability should continue to support higher housing starts, lifting the price of lumber. 27th March 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Weekly Middle East tensions boost oil prices A variety of factors have lifted commodity prices this past week. Renewed Middle East fears following events in Yemen boosted oil and gold. Copper prices continued their gradual recovery, helped by... 27th March 2015 · 1 min read
Commodities Update Tighter market to push coffee prices higher Despite the weak Brazilian real putting downward pressure on the price of arabica coffee, with the market tightening we think that the price will move higher. 26th March 2015 · 1 min read
