Emerging Europe Economics Update Poland: slowdown in Q3, but more timely signs of improvement Our GDP Tracker suggests that growth in the Polish economy slowed to around 2.5% y/y in Q3 from 3.2% y/y in Q2. But it does at least look like the economy strengthened a touch towards the end of the... 23rd October 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Polish Bank Governor strikes a dovish note Following a larger-than-expected interest rate cut in Poland earlier today, Governor Belkaunderstandably maintained an extremely dovish stance at this afternoon’s post-meeting press conference. At the... 8th October 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Manufacturing PMIs point to activity stabilising September’s PMIs suggest that the slowdown in the region’s manufacturing sector may have stabilised towards the end of the third quarter. Encouragingly, the Polish PMI edged up, having fallen for the... 1st October 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Currency sell-off highlights divisions in rate outlook The sharp sell-off in the Russian ruble and Turkish lira this month couldn’t have come at a worse time for policymakers. Growth is sluggish in both countries, but high inflation and concerns about... 30th September 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Euro-zone more to blame for Q2 slowdown than Ukraine The slowdown in Central and South Eastern Europe in the second quarter has raised concerns about the region’s exposure to the crisis in Ukraine. In this Watch, we dig deeper into the GDP data to see... 11th September 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Emerging Europe Economic Outlook The recovery in Emerging Europe has fizzled out in recent months and we think growth will be sluggish over the coming quarters. The crisis in Ukraine presents one headwind, particularly for Russia... 5th September 2014 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Outlook Hunt for yield will drive investors east Over the first half of the year, capital values in the Emerging European commercial property markets were little changed, while values in non-euro-zone Western markets edged a little higher. Over the... 3rd September 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Polish MPC signals rate cuts The Polish MPC made it pretty clear at today’s post-meeting press conference that subdued growth and extremely low inflation mean that interest rates will be lowered over the coming months. For now... 3rd September 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update August’s PMIs suggest growth in Central Europe slowed further Last month’s batch of manufacturing PMIs suggests that the recent slowdown in the Turkish economy may have bottomed out but it provides yet further evidence of weakening growth in Central Europe. 1st September 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack CEE recovery loses steam The raft of second quarter GDP data released in Central and South Eastern Europe this month showed that growth eased across much of the region. It’s tempting to interpret this as a sign that the... 20th August 2014 · 1 min read
Europe Commercial Property Update When will CEE office occupier demand take off? The recent fall in office take-up across the main CEE markets is a concern given the region’s large office development pipelines. But at the same time, the recent strength of office-based employment... 14th August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Q2 GDP data show recovery in CEE losing momentum Softer growth across much of Central and Eastern Europe in Q2 is likely to be attributed to spillovers from the crisis in Ukraine but, while this may have weighed on business confidence in some... 14th August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Q2 GDP data to show Central Europe’s recovery losing steam The raft of second quarter GDP data due to be published next week is likely to show that the recovery in Central and South Eastern Europe lost steam. Worryingly, having made a bright start to Q2... 8th August 2014 · 1 min read
Non-Euro Europe Commercial Property Chart Pack CEE investment grows strongly in Q2 Economic indicators in the non-euro-zone Western European economies were generally positive in Q2, but there are signs that growth slowed across the board in Emerging Europe. That wasn’t enough to put... 6th August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Manufacturing PMIs point to a soft start to Q3 July’s manufacturing PMIs from Emerging Europe were, in aggregate, a little better than June’s figures. But they were still weaker than their average over the first half of the year. What’s more, much... 1st August 2014 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Interest rates heading in opposite directions The Russian central bank caused a surprise earlier this month by hiking its one-week repo rate in a pre-emptive move to limit capital outflows ahead of a fresh sanctions imposed by the US and EU. This... 30th July 2014 · 1 min read
