Emerging Europe Economics Update Insights from Euromoney’s CEE conference Europe’s energy crisis, sky-high rates of inflation and Ukraine’s reconstruction were among the biggest topics of conversation at Euromoney’s Central and Eastern European forum in Vienna this week... 12th January 2023 · 4 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Romania Interest Rate Announcement (Jan.) 10th January 2023 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Europe’s energy crisis losing its bite The narrative surrounding Europe's energy crisis has shifted in recent weeks as warmer-than-normal winter temperatures have reduced heating demand, gas stocks have remained at high levels and gas... 6th January 2023 · 8 mins read
Emerging Europe Data Response Economic Sentiment Indicators (Dec.) The latest EC Economic Sentiment Indicators for Central and Eastern Europe point to a regional decline in GDP in the order of 0.5% q/q in Q4, but it was encouraging that sentiment increased for the... 6th January 2023 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Winter recession in motion Emerging European economies are set for recessions this winter as the impact of high inflation, tight financial conditions and weakening external demand take their toll. Our GDP forecasts for 2023 are... 12th December 2022 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update CEE inflation peaking, but long road back to target Headline inflation in Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) will peak in most countries in the next few months, at around 20% y/y, and should fall to single-digits across the region by end-2023. But we... 7th December 2022 · 5 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Resilience in CEE industry unlikely to last Industry across Central and Eastern Europe (CEE) has held up better than might have been expected this year given the extent of the energy price shock. While output in energy-intensive industry has... 29th November 2022 · 4 mins read
Emerging Europe Data Response Economic Sentiment Indicators (Nov.) The EC’s Economic Sentiment Indicators increased in most Central and Eastern European economies in November, but sentiment remains at levels that have been consistent with recessions in most countries... 29th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Data Response Central & Eastern Europe GDP (Q3 2022) Q3 GDP figures for Central and Eastern Europe were generally a bit better than we had expected, but pockets of weakness were beginning to emerge as the Czech and Hungarian economies both recorded q/q... 15th November 2022 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Romania’s current account risks continue to mount Romania’s current account deficit, which is among the largest in the EM world, has continued to widen this year and now exceeds 9% of GDP. It is reassuring that much of the deficit is currently being... 14th November 2022 · 3 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly Sovereigns tap dollar debt, dovish CEE central banks Governments in Turkey and Poland made a splash this week as they announced rare dollar bond issues. Turkey appears to be taking advantage of a period of low credit spreads while the decision in Poland... 11th November 2022 · 11 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Romania Interest Rate Announcement (Nov.) 8th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Economics Weekly All eyes on a divided NBP, Israel’s election outcome The divergent views among policymakers at the National Bank of Poland (NBP) make it increasingly difficult to tell whether the central bank’s tightening cycle is coming to an end. Our central view is... 4th November 2022 · 10 mins read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Region heading for recession Emerging European economies are facing a difficult winter due to the energy crisis as well as headwinds from weakening demand for exports and tightening external financing conditions. We expect almost... 13th October 2022 · 29 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response Romania Interest Rate Announcement (Oct.) 5th October 2022 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Inflation pressures showing signs of easing Inflation now seems to be approaching a peak across the region. Commodity prices have fallen, supply constraints have eased, pipeline price pressures have softened and firms’ selling price... 22nd September 2022 · 14 mins read