Emerging Europe Economics Update Emerging European markets outperform other EMs Equity markets in Emerging Europe have outperformed the rest of the emerging world over the past month. The largest gains have come in Central Europe, where the growth outlook continues to improve... 25th October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Inflation to stay low even as growth recovers Inflation in Central and South Eastern Europe slowed to a record low in September and is likely to remain subdued throughout 2014, even as growth recovers. This in turn should mean that monetary... 16th October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Light at the end of the austerity tunnel While the economic challenges facing Russia and Turkey are growing, we're becoming increasingly optimistic about the outlook for the rest of Emerging Europe. The pick-up in growth in recent months has... 15th October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Taking the long view The tendency of most forecasters (including ourselves) to focus on the growth prospects for Emerging Europe over a one or two year horizon means that the region’s medium-term growth potential is often... 7th October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update September’s PMIs show Turkey rebounding, Russia lagging September’s PMIs suggest that manufacturing in the highly-open Central European economies continued to recover and that Turkey’s manufacturing sector rebounded. However, growth in Turkey appears to... 1st October 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Recovery gains momentum September’s European Commission Economic Sentiment Indicators (ESIs) allow us to form an early view of how Emerging Europe has performed in Q3, and the good news is that the recovery seems to be... 27th September 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Poland leads the way The latest activity data show that Emerging Europe’s recovery is continuing. Detailed Q2 GDP figures released this month confirmed that the region as a whole grew by 1.6% y/y, up from 1.3% y/y in the... 27th September 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Central Europe has muted reaction to QE tapering delay The reaction of the financial markets in Central Europe to the US Fed’s decision to hold off tapering QE was decidedly muted. But these countries’ markets didn’t suffer the large sell-offs seen... 24th September 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economic Outlook Growth clouds start to lift The outlook for much of Emerging Europe has brightened in recent months and we expect growth in most countries to accelerate over the coming quarters. The strengthening of the euro-zone should support... 20th September 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Have Emerging Europe’s banks turned the corner? Emerging Europe has been the laggard of the emerging world over the past few years, due in large part to problems in its banks. But with the region seemingly on the mend, might local banking sectors... 17th September 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Q2 recovery supported by strengthening euro-zone The breakdown of GDP data for Central and South Eastern Europe confirmed that the acceleration in growth seen in Q2 was largely a result of stronger demand from the euro-zone. But there were also... 4th September 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Q2 GDP data likely to provide grounds for optimism The raft of GDP data due over the next few weeks is likely to show that growth in Emerging Europe picked up in the second quarter of this year. However, while the region as a whole seems to have... 8th August 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Chart Pack Central Europe picking up, Russia still in the doldrums The slowdown in Emerging Europe appears to have bottomed out in recent months and there are tentative signs of a turnaround in regional growth. At a country level though, it’s actually been a... 29th July 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Has Hungary really turned the corner? Hungary has been buoyed by a raft of good news over the past few months. Q1 GDP data showed that the economy exited recession, the budget deficit has narrowed to the extent that the European... 18th July 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Focus Is Emerging Europe doomed to lag behind? There are encouraging signs that the slowdown in Emerging Europe has bottomed out in recent months and we think growth should strengthen over the second half of this year. The recovery will remain... 10th July 2013 · 1 min read
Emerging Europe Economics Update Credit conditions still tight Our latest Banking Heat Map suggests that credit conditions in most countries in Emerging Europe remain extremely tight. The main exception is Turkey, where credit growth has accelerated again in... 28th June 2013 · 1 min read
