US Housing Market Rapid Response Existing Home Sales (Nov. 2024) The increase in existing home sales in November, despite rising mortgage rates and weakening mortgage applications the month before, points to stronger demand from cash buyers, possibly driven by... 19th December 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Nov. 2024) The decline in housing starts in November was entirely due to weakness in multifamily construction, which outweighed a post-hurricane rebound in single-family construction. The rise in permits to a... 18th December 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Nov. 2024) The rebound in purchase mortgage applications in November shows that there were some signs of life in the market, despite the return of 7% mortgage rates. But taking a step back, activity remains... 4th December 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Sep. 2024) The second consecutive moderate 0.3% rise in house prices in September reflects the market picking up momentum over the summer as mortgage rates fell. However, timelier indicators, like the sales-to... 26th November 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response New Home Sales (Oct. 2024) The large fall in new home sales in October was to be expected given the disruption from hurricanes Helene and Milton, as well as the rise in mortgage rates last month. While sales should rebound this... 26th November 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Existing Home Sales (Oct. 2024) The modest rise in existing home sales in October reflects the earlier drop in mortgage rates over the summer and is unlikely to be repeated, as borrowing costs have since rebounded to 7%. 21st November 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Oct. 2024) The decline in housing starts in October was exactly as we had expected given the hit to construction in the South from recent hurricanes and should partially reverse in November. Beyond this, we... 19th November 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Oct. 2024) Rising borrowing costs snuffed out the nascent recovery in mortgage activity in October, with home purchase and refinancing applications both slumping after a promising end to September. This puts to... 6th November 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Aug. 2024) A slightly healthier 0.3% rise in house prices in August does not change the fact that the market is rapidly cooling amid weak demand and growing supply. Therefore, we stand by our recent decision to... 29th October 2024 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response New Home Sales (Sep. 2024) The increase in new home sales in September was probably supported by the fall in mortgage rates last month. Rates have rebounded since then, however, which lends support to our view that new home... 24th October 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Existing Home Sales (Sep. 2024) The 1% m/m fall in seasonally adjusted existing home sales in September seems underwhelming given last month’s drop in mortgage rates, but the rise in mortgage applications in September points to a... 23rd October 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Housing Starts (Sep. 2024) The small fall in housing starts in September was entirely due to the multi-family segment, whereas single-family starts rose to a five-month high. While starts will probably weaken this month due to... 18th October 2024 · 2 mins read
US Commercial Property Rapid Response Flagging previous climate risk notes In light of both Hurricanes Helene and Milton we are flagging notes where we highlighted the physical climate risks facing the US. 14th October 2024 · 1 min read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Mortgage Applications (Sep. 2024) The impact of lower mortgage rates was finally evident in mortgage applications in September, with applications for home purchase rebounding to a three-month high. With mortgage rates falling to... 2nd October 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response New Home Sales (Aug. 2024) New home sales dropped back slightly in August, which always seemed likely after the 10% surge in transactions the month before, driven by pent-up buyers responding to lower borrowing costs. Still... 25th September 2024 · 2 mins read
US Housing Market Rapid Response Case-Shiller/FHFA House Prices (Jul. 2024) Another muted 0.2% rise in house prices in July adds to the sense that the housing market is cooling amid weak buyer demand and growing supply. As price growth continues to moderate quickly with no... 24th September 2024 · 2 mins read
