US Economics Update Fed's Survey shows no evidence of loan rebound The Fed's latest survey of Senior Loan Officers reveals a disturbing drop off in the demand for new loans and the renewed tightening of credit conditions for residential mortgages and other consumer... 8th November 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Bouncing along the bottom The housing market recovery has yet to begin with activity more or less bouncing along the bottom. Home sales did edge further above their post-tax credit low in September, but they remained 20% below... 8th November 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Will the G20 agree to current account targets? The G20 Summit in Korea next week (11th – 12th) will be overshadowed by the fall-out from “currency wars”, hampering any attempt at the improved coordination of policies necessary to help rebalance... 5th November 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Fed's QE2 is no game changer The Fed's new programme of asset purchases is not going to pull the US economy out of its current malaise because, given the scale of the balance sheet problems affecting households and financial... 3rd November 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Mid-term elections point to gridlock As widely expected, the Republicans regained control of the House of Reprentatives in yesterday's midterm elections but failed to overturn the Democratic majority in the Senate. The division of power... 3rd November 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Update More dovish Bank of Canada may yet ease again (Oct 10) The Bank of Canada appears some way from further monetary tightening. Economic conditions would have to improve substantially and by enough to offset the increasing downside risks to future inflation... 19th October 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Monetary Indicators Monitor (Sep.) The annual rate of decline in our Capital Economics' measure of M3 continues to slow. (See Chart below.) There is a good chance that the widely expected second round of quantitative easing from the... 19th October 2010 · 1 min read
US Economics Update Prices start to fall back (Oct 10) House prices have started to fall back in response to the plunge in sales seen since the homebuyer tax credit expired in April. Both the Case-Shiller and FHFA indices showed prices fell in July. (See... 13th October 2010 · 1 min read
