UK Housing Market Outlook BTL to slow growth in mortgage approvals While the housing market ended 2016 in reasonable shape, house price growth has been losing steam. With prices already so high, we expect that trend to continue, with annual house price growth ending... 30th January 2017 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook Housing market activity to recover next year The housing market is starting to recover from the initial shock of the Brexit vote. But with prices already high, we don’t expect a return to business as usual. Rather, we think house price growth... 17th October 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook Brexit drag on transactions and prices to last until next year A lot has changed since our previous Analyst. Distortions relating to the stamp duty surcharge alongside a weakening economic backdrop kicked the housing market into a lower gear earlier in Q2. And... 2nd August 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook House price inflation to converge on earnings growth House price inflation has strengthened a little since our previous Analyst. But the economy has lost a little momentum and forward-looking demand indicators, such as buyer enquiries, are easing... 20th April 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook House prices and earnings set to gradually rebalance The recent easing in buyer demand suggests house prices are approaching a ceiling. We envisage house price inflation falling to 2% in 2016 and 2017 – giving wages a chance to start catching up with... 15th January 2016 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook House price pressures to ease in 2016 Most of the evidence suggests that prices have become worryingly dependent on record low levels of interest rates. So a period in which prices grow in line with, or preferably by less than, incomes... 16th October 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook Lack of homes for sale will drive house prices higher in 2015 Housing demand is finally responding to a strong economic backdrop and record low mortgage interest rates. But with the numbers of homes for sale at historic lows, that increased demand is feeding... 22nd July 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook A strong economic backdrop and low mortgage rates will lead to further house price gains A number of measures indicate that the strong economic backdrop has led to a boost in housing market sentiment. However, active housing demand remains very subdued. In part that reflects a lack of... 21st April 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook House prices to receive boost from stamp duty reform Housing market activity dropped sharply in the second half of 2014 as fears of a rise in interest rates, high housing valuations and a lack of stock on the market constrained demand. But several... 21st January 2015 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook House price growth eases on back of falling demand Housing market activity has cooled considerably over the past few months. A lack of homes available for sale, fears over future increases in interest rates, a drop in mortgage lending following the... 17th October 2014 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook Housing market activity starts to cool Housing market activity is showing signs of cooling, with mortgage approvals, new buyer enquiries and transactions all easing in recent months. The drop in demand has helped to loosen market... 16th July 2014 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook Boom in London house prices unlikely to spread to the rest of the country House prices are now rising across the country but, London aside, they are not in boom territory. And with some early indications that demand is at least no longer accelerating, we expect prices to... 15th April 2014 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook House prices set for further gains in 2014 The housing market finished 2013 strongly with prices and transactions both on upward trends. That momentum will continue into this year and, helped by an improving labour market, our central forecast... 13th January 2014 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook House prices set for modest gains thanks to Government interventions With much fanfare, the Government has brought forward by three months the launch of the controversial Help to Buy mortgage guarantee scheme. We remain unconvinced that it will generate a large number... 15th October 2013 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook An improving economy will help boost housing market activity Record low mortgage rates, the equity loan component of the Government’s Help to Buy scheme and a general improvement in the economic environment have helped activity in the housing market to recover... 17th July 2013 · 1 min read
UK Housing Market Outlook Government interventions make house price falls less likely The Government took further action to breathe life into the housing market in Budget 2013 by announcing a new Help-to-Buy scheme. Alongside the ongoing Funding for Lending Scheme, and with house... 16th April 2013 · 1 min read