UK Economic Outlook The pound at a critical juncture (Q1 04) The pound has been caught in the middle of a major realignment between the US dollar and the euro, which we believe could have significantly further to go. 30th December 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The economic consequences of EU enlargement (Q4 03) In May next year, eight Central and Eastern European Countries together with Cyprus and Malta will join the European Union, increasing membership from 15 to 25 states. How this enlargement works will... 27th September 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The Chancellor's five-point plan for Britain (Q3 03) The Treasury’s assessment of the five economic tests to determine whether the UK should adopt the euro has had an unexpected benefit – five ideas for reform, admittedly not all new, to improve the... 27th June 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The five tests for euro entry: pass or fail? (Q2 03) In a few months, the Treasury will complete its assessment of the five economic tests for UK adoption of the single currency. Should the tests be passed, a referendum could follow in the autumn and we... 30th March 2003 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Heading for a harder landing (Q1 03) Official and market forecasts of a steady acceleration in the growth of the UK economy over the next few years rely on a gradual and orderly unwinding of the imbalances built up in the last five. But... 27th December 2002 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Sterling - still too high after all these years (Q4 02) With the issue of UK entry into the single European currency likely to come to the fore again over the next year or so, whether the exchange rate is at an appropriate level for entry will be a... 27th September 2002 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook A major rebalancing of the British economy is on the way (Q3 02) Having pulled the economy along almost single-handedly in recent years, the consumer express train is about to hit the buffers. 27th June 2002 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Is the world well on the way to recovery? (Q2 02) The world economy has shown encouraging signs of recovery in the last three months. Surveys of business and consumer confidence have rebounded, and industrial orders have started to rise again. And in... 30th March 2002 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Profits - The Bottom Line; Sharp falls in store in 2002 (Q1 02) A simultaneous slowdown in all of the industrial nations is now underway. The result is that global growth in 2002 may be the weakest in post-war history. 13th December 2001 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The Economic & Financial System at War (Q4 01) The world is on the brink of the worst economic downturn since the second world war. In America this will take the form of outright recession. In Japan and much of Asia, the economy is already in... 27th September 2001 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook To be in, or not to be in - that is the question - Prospects for euro entry (Q3 01) The euro is the main economic issue of the day. Both financial planners and economic policy-makers would be strongly affected if the pound were to join it and, accordingly, they are obliged to make an... 27th June 2001 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook What Happens if America Catches Pneumonia? (Q2 01) For the first time in a decade the world has to confront the serious possibility of a recession – or even a slump. In the United States the fundamentals still suggest a major slowdown. More... 30th March 2001 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Is US Economic Success Merely A Statistical Mirage? (Q1 01) There are as many opinions on the “new economy” as there are economists – in fact, probably more. But amidst all the hype on the one hand and the outright scepticism on the other, there has apparently... 30th December 2000 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The Treasury awash with cash - But can it last? (Q4 00) One of the defining features of the economic and political landscape in recent years has been the steady improvement in the public finances. This trend has already allowed the Government to announce... 27th September 2000 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The Englishman's Home is His Castle - But are the Foundations Stable? (Q3 00) Sharp swings in the housing market have become an accepted characteristic of the UK economy over the past 30 years. Indeed, so pronounced have the swings in the housing market been that they have... 27th June 2000 · 1 min read
