UK Economic Outlook Black or Golden? The economic effects of the fall in the pound (Q3 2008) The fall in the UK exchange rate over the last six months has been broadly similar in scale to that seen after the pound fell out of the ERM in 1992. But while this should eventually lead to a period... 2nd July 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Several years of sluggish spending ahead (Q2 08) Consumer spending remains on course for its sharpest slowdown since the early 1990s. We expect spending to rise by 1.5% in real terms this year and just 1.0% in 2009 – with the main risks to these... 2nd May 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Mind the gap (Q2 2008) The UK’s current account deficit has reached unsustainable levels. And any correction is likely to be very painful for the wider economy, incorporating a prolonged period of very weak domestic growth... 2nd April 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Households face a double whammy (Q1 08) The outlook for consumer spending has deteriorated and we have downgraded our consumer spending forecasts. We now expect real spending to rise by only 1.5% this year and 1.0% in 2009. 13th February 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook A fundamental adjustment, not a pause for breath (Q1 2008) The coming slowdown in the UK economy looks set to be a fundamental adjustment rather than a brief pause for breath such as that seen a couple of years ago. Growth will be weak in both 2008 and 2009... 2nd January 2008 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Tighter lending conditions to exacerbate the housing slowdown (Q4 07) 25th October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook A not so brave new world? (Q4 2007) This summer’s global financial crisis could force the world to address the imbalances and excesses of the last decade. It could ultimately usher in a new world economic order. 3rd October 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Higher interest rates to push up the saving rate (Q3 07) 31st July 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Better balanced growth lies ahead - The regional outlook for the UK economy (Q3 2007) The UK economy is currently seriously unbalanced, with a clear divide between growth in London and the South East and in the rest of the country. 3rd July 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Higher interest rates to constrain the spending recovery (Q2 07) 27th April 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook The shape of things to come – The UK economy over the next 20 years (Q2 2007) Innumerable changes are afoot at the sectoral level of the UK economy. The shape of the UK economy is being remoulded by two major economic forces – the trend away from goods towards services and... 2nd April 2007 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook External shock or domestic bliss? (Q1 2007) The UK economy appears to have built up a reasonable head of steam in recent quarters. But at the same time, concerns have grown over the threat of a slowdown in the US economy and the impact of... 22nd December 2006 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Onward and upward? The outlook for the UK's financial services sector (Q4 2006) The financial services sector has been one of the UK’s biggest success stories in recent years. Not only has it punched above its weight in driving GDP growth, but it has produced a significant trade... 4th October 2006 · 1 min read
UK Economic Outlook Higher saving to keep a check on spending growth (Q3 06) 2nd August 2006 · 1 min read
