Commodities Update Omicron puts demand back in the spotlight We were already downbeat on the outlook for most commodity prices in 2022, not least because we thought that prices had lost touch with demand fundamentals. The risk of Omicron-related effects on... 29th November 2021 · 2 mins read
Precious Metals Update Palladium outlook brightest once auto sector rebounds The well-documented shortages of semiconductors have slammed the brakes on global vehicle production. As a result, the near-term prospects for platinum group metals (PGMs) demand in autocatalysts have... 25th October 2021 · 4 mins read
Precious Metals Update Dim outlook for the silver price We think that weaker physical demand, higher real US Treasury yields and a stronger dollar will mean that the recent poor performance of the silver price is set to continue over the next couple of... 7th October 2021 · 3 mins read
Commodities Update China PMIs point to weaker metals demand China’s July survey data suggest that manufacturing and construction activity have continued to cool, which supports our view that a slowdown in China will weigh heavily on industrial metals prices. 2nd August 2021 · 2 mins read
Precious Metals Update We still think gold will lose its shine After rallying from April onwards, the price of gold has dropped back in recent weeks. We expect the price of gold to fall further over the next couple of years as long-dated US real yields climb. 30th June 2021 · 2 mins read
Precious Metals Update Chip shortages to dent auto industry PGM demand The recent disruption to global auto production stemming from ongoing semiconductor microchip shortages poses a downside risk to our price forecasts for platinum and palladium. In this Update, we map... 21st May 2021 · 5 mins read
Precious Metals Update Strong physical demand won’t stop gold prices falling Recent data have highlighted the strength of the rebound in physical demand for gold, especially in India and China. But we don’t think this poses much of a risk to our forecast for the gold price to... 30th April 2021 · 4 mins read
Precious Metals Update Real yields and gold The recent drop in the price of gold below $1,700/oz. has illustrated its greater sensitivity to US long- than short-dated real yields. Although the price has nudged back up above this level at the... 31st March 2021 · 4 mins read
Precious Metals Update Gold unlikely to fall much further While we are revising down our forecast, we don’t expect the price of gold to fall that much further this year. In our view, the recent decline in investment demand is unlikely to continue for long... 10th March 2021 · 2 mins read
Precious Metals Update Just another spell of volatility for the silver price Many media reports have linked silver’s recent price volatility to last week’s targeted buying of a handful of small US equities by retail investors. But we reckon that it marks just another bout of... 4th February 2021 · 3 mins read
Precious Metals Update Physical demand to bolster gold prices in 2021 Despite a surge in gold prices last year, physical demand for gold fell precipitously. But we think that a brighter economic outlook will boost consumer demand this year and help to prop up the gold... 2nd February 2021 · 2 mins read
Precious Metals Update New SA virus variant unlikely to affect PGM supply Despite the new South African coronavirus variant, it appears that PGM production in the country will hold up well, for now, since the virus-containment measures are not as severe. 14th January 2021 · 3 mins read
Precious Metals Update The risks to our gold price forecast are to the downside We expect that the price of gold will trade at around $1,900 per ounce through 2021 as US real yields remain low. That said, we recognise that there are some key downside risks to our forecast. US... 10th December 2020 · 3 mins read
Precious Metals Update Platinum market to swing into a small surplus The platinum market should move into a small surplus in 2021 as demand falls and production in South Africa rebounds strongly in the wake of lighter virus-related restrictions. 20th November 2020 · 3 mins read
Precious Metals Update Gold prices to hold up despite possible vaccine While the positive developments in finding an effective vaccine against COVID-19 have boosted investor risk appetite, we still think that gold prices will remain high in the year ahead. 11th November 2020 · 2 mins read
Precious Metals Update Higher gold price and industrial rebound to lift silver A higher gold price, along with the ongoing recovery in industrial demand, particularly from China, means that the price of silver is likely to rise in the year ahead. 30th September 2020 · 3 mins read
