Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Riksbank might rethink; Swedish gov’t on the brink Against the backdrop of a red-hot housing market, the Riksbank might draw inspiration from the Swedish football team, which embodied one of the ideals of central banking in its opening Euro 2020 game... 18th June 2021 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly No inflation scare in Scandinavia or Switzerland… If there is a global inflation scare, the Scandinavians are yet to get the memo. In a week when we learnt that core inflation hit a 28-year high in the US in May, we also learnt that the core... 11th June 2021 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Riksbank not marvelling at proposed Act changes While many of the changes in the new proposed Riksbank Act are benign, the Bank argues with some merit that the new legislation would make it more difficult for it to use its balance sheet during... 4th June 2021 · 7 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Swiss seven-year itch; lots to ponder at the Riksbank The breakdown of the Swiss/EU Treaty talks has taken the headlines this week, but the Swiss economy appears to be galloping ahead in any case. While the belated release of Q1 GDP data next week is... 28th May 2021 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Denmark nears normality, but the pigs are porkier The Danish economy made a weak start to the year, but the fact that the economy has now almost fully re-opened means that output is likely to come roaring back in the second quarter. The KOF Economic... 21st May 2021 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly A lexical examination of the Riksbank’s minutes The minutes of the Riksbank’s April meeting illustrate the extent to which the housing market has forced its way on to policymakers’ radar screens. The Bank is clearly of the view that the financial... 14th May 2021 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Higher Sweden forecast, Denmark’s "Hamlet" moment The Swedish economy has proved remarkably resilient at the start of 2021, having surpassed its pre-virus level in March and surveys suggesting that it is powering ahead in Q2. Against this backdrop... 7th May 2021 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Riksbank to embrace partial QT in ‘23; Swiss KOF ? Despite revising its near-term GDP forecast higher on Tuesday, the Riksbank channelled its inner-Fed by reiterating that it is in no rush to tighten. That said, while repo rate rises are probably... 30th April 2021 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Swiss President to use his mojo, but not like BoJo After years of inaction, the recent round of Swiss-EU talks on a new bilateral “framework agreement” suggest there is finally some light at the end of the tunnel, which would help remove some economic... 23rd April 2021 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly No AZ jabs please, we’re Danish The tide has turned against the AstraZeneca vaccine in Denmark and Norway and fewer available vaccine doses could delay the rollouts in the Nordics, potentially by several months. At this stage, we... 16th April 2021 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Switzerland gets a clean report card from the IMF The support voiced by the IMF for the SNB’s policies following the latest Article IV consultation with Switzerland provides further cover, if needed, for the Bank to push back against accusations of... 9th April 2021 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Manufacturing to cushion blow from rising virus cases The spaghetti-tree hoax of 1957, which centred on a Swiss family harvesting spaghetti, is widely regarded as one of the most successful April Fools’ jokes, but Swiss manufacturers are far too busy at... 1st April 2021 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Denmark charts new course as the SNB steams ahead While lockdowns are being tightened and/or extended in much of mainland Europe, the attention in Denmark is shifting towards easing restrictions, which should allow activity there to rebound sooner... 26th March 2021 · 6 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Hawkish Norges Bank to help push NOK higher You don’t need to be a mind reader to figure out what the Norges Bank is thinking, and it now expects to start raising interest rates in late 2021. As it happens, given the momentum in oil prices and... 19th March 2021 · 4 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Brace yourself for a more hawkish Norges Bank We think that the Norges Bank will bring forward the projected start date of interest rate hikes next Thursday, and there is a chance that it could re-tighten macroprudential policy too. Meanwhile, we... 12th March 2021 · 5 mins read
Nordic & Swiss Economics Weekly Franc falls further; kNOcKing on the door of SEK parity The further fall in the Swiss franc this week will have caused smiles all around at the SNB, and the stage looks set for the currency to ease lower this year. The major event next week will be the ECB... 5th March 2021 · 5 mins read
