Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Interest Rate Announcement (Feb. ’25) The Central Bank of Egypt (CBE) left its overnight deposit rate unchanged at 27.25% today but, with inflation set to slow sharply over the next couple of months, we think policymakers will start the... 20th February 2025 · 2 mins read
Emerging Europe Rapid Response US-Russia talks don’t signal near-term end to the war The decision by the US and Russia to “lay the groundwork” to end the war in Ukraine marks a potentially significant turning point after three years of conflict. Negotiations will take time and the... 18th February 2025 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Jan. 2025) Egypt’s headline inflation rate only slowed a touch to 24.0% y/y in January. But with earlier falls in the pound now starting to fall out of the annual price comparison, we expect Egypt’s headline... 10th February 2025 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Middle East & North Africa PMIs (Jan. 2025) January’s batch of PMIs showed a mixed result as the region’s two largest economies, Saudi Arabia and Egypt, recorded their strongest outturns in several years, while surveys from Kuwait and Qatar... 4th February 2025 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia GDP (Q4 2024, Flash Est.) Saudi Arabia’s flash estimate of GDP showed that the economy grew by just 0.3% q/q in the final quarter of 2024, marking the slowest rate of expansion in a year. We think GDP growth will accelerate... 30th January 2025 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia Consumer & Wholesale Prices (Dec. 2024) Saudi Arabia’s headline inflation rate eased a touch from 2.0% y/y in November to 1.9% y/y in December and it is likely to hover around these rates over the first half of 2025 before slowing toward 1%... 15th January 2025 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Dec. 2024) Egypt’s headline inflation rate slowed from 25.5% y/y in November to 24.1% y/y in December, its slowest pace in two years. With earlier falls in the pound falling out of the annual price comparison... 9th January 2025 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response PMIs (Dec. 2024) December’s batch of PMIs declined for the most part across the Gulf but we doubt that the strength of non-oil activity will be sustained in 2025, particularly in Saudi Arabia and Kuwait. Elsewhere... 6th January 2025 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Nov. 2024) Egypt’s headline inflation rate slowed from 26.5% y/y in October to 25.5% y/y in November and, with falls in the pound starting to fall out of the annual price comparison and global food and energy... 10th December 2024 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response PMIs (Nov. 2024) November’s batch of PMIs showed an increase all of the Gulf economies, although there remained some underlying signs that non-oil activity is softening. Elsewhere, Egypt’s PMI improved a touch as... 3rd December 2024 · 2 mins read
Event Drop-In: Trump, OPEC, China – What’s driving oil prices in 2025? 1732719600 An oil market that has mostly looked through a year of Middle East conflict now faces fresh, Trump-shaped, uncertainty.
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia Consumer & Wholesale Prices (Oct. 2024) Saudi Arabia’s headline inflation rate accelerated from 1.7% y/y in September to 1.9% y/y in October, a fourth consecutive rise and the fastest pace of inflation since August 2023. We expect inflation... 14th November 2024 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response PMIs (Oct. 2024) October’s batch of PMIs showed an increase across all of the Gulf economies, although there remained underlying signs that non-oil activity is softening. Elsewhere, Egypt’s survey also improved last... 5th November 2024 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia GDP (Q3 ’24, Flash Estimate) The 0.8% q/q rise in Saudi GDP in Q3 is likely to be followed by further steady increases, but growth will be driven increasingly by higher oil output while there are signs that the non-oil sector is... 31st October 2024 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Saudi Arabia Consumer Prices (Sep. 2024) Saudi Arabia’s headline inflation rate rose a touch from 1.6% y/y in August to 1.7% y/y in September, a third consecutive increase and the fastest pace of inflation since February. That said, we think... 15th October 2024 · 2 mins read
Middle East & North Africa Rapid Response Egypt Consumer Prices (Sep. 2024) The second consecutive rise in Egypt’s headline inflation rate, to 26.4% y/y in September, on the back of electricity and fuel price hikes further reduces the chances of a first interest rate cut... 9th October 2024 · 2 mins read
