Latin America Economic Outlook Not all doom and gloom Virus outbreaks are easing in much of Latin America which should support activity in the near term. And while vaccination coverage is still weak in most of the region, suggesting there is still a... 19th July 2021 · 26 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook A slow and bumpy path to recovery Severe COVID-19 outbreaks across Latin America will put a brake on the region’s economic recovery in Q2. While we’re more optimistic than most that the rollout of vaccines will boost output later this... 22nd April 2021 · 25 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Vaccines won’t heal all scars While vaccines offer Latin America a route out of the crisis, lingering public debt issues will hold back the regional recovery and raise the risk of long-lasting economic scarring. As a result, after... 26th January 2021 · 26 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook An uphill struggle The picture has brightened for Latin America as new COVID-19 cases have fallen from their peaks, which should allow governments to ease restrictions and provide a boost to economic recoveries. Even so... 21st October 2020 · 26 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Lagging behind The failure to contain the coronavirus and the small size of fiscal support in some countries mean that Latin America will have the weakest recovery of any region globally. Brazil, Mexico and Colombia... 23rd July 2020 · 25 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Brazil and Mexico to come out worst The downturn in Latin America this year will the deepest since reliable records began. The slow policy responses in Brazil and Mexico, as well as struggles to bring their coronavirus outbreaks under... 24th April 2020 · 18 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook A fitful recovery Growth in most Latin American economies should strengthen in 2020, but we expect that these recoveries will be slow and fragile. Indeed, the region is likely to be the worst performing part of the... 21st January 2020 · 26 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Slow regional recovery, Argentina headed for default After a weak 2019, we expect that growth across most of Latin America will improve next year. That said, our forecasts for the regions two biggest economies – Brazil and Mexico – are below consensus... 16th October 2019 · 27 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Regional recovery to be slow-going After a terrible start to the year, we expect economic growth in Latin America to pick up over the next 12-18 months. However, recoveries in most cases will be weak. Indeed, our GDP forecasts for many... 12th July 2019 · 27 mins read
Latin America Economic Outlook Weak recovery, rates lower for longer GDP growth in Latin America probably reached a trough in Q1, but the pace of recovery will be slower than most expect. The prices of most of the region’s commodity exports will either fall or remain... 4th April 2019 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook A slow recovery GDP growth in Latin America should strengthen in the coming quarters, but the pace of the recovery will be weaker than most expect. Fiscal and monetary policy are likely to be tightened and external... 17th January 2019 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook A slow and uneven recovery Growth in Latin America as a whole is likely to strengthen over the coming quarters, but with monetary and fiscal policy tightening in most countries, it will be weaker than most expect. We’re... 22nd October 2018 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Cyclical recovery set to resume The recovery in Latin America stalled in Q2, but we expect regional growth to accelerate over the coming quarters and our GDP forecasts for 2018-19 are generally above consensus. The main exception is... 24th July 2018 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Cyclical recovery to gather momentum We expect growth in most countries in Latin America to accelerate over the course of this year as the region’s cyclical recovery gathers pace. Inflation is now bottoming out and in most places it will... 16th March 2018 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Growth to accelerate further in 2018 We expect economic growth in most countries in Latin America to accelerate further in 2018. Of the region’s major economies, we anticipate a pick-up in growth next year in Brazil, Mexico, Colombia... 22nd November 2017 · 1 min read
Latin America Economic Outlook Recovery to strengthen over coming year After a torrid couple of years, the economies of Latin America have turned a corner and we expect growth to strengthen over the rest of 2017 and into 2018. Inflation has fallen in most countries and... 23rd August 2017 · 1 min read