Latin America Data Response Mexico Consumer Prices (Dec.) Mexico’s headline inflation rate was unchanged at 7.8% y/y in December but policymakers at the central bank will have taken comfort from the fact that core price pressures are finally easing. The... 9th January 2023 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Brazil Industrial Production (Nov.) The 0.1% m/m fall in Brazilian industrial production in November and the weak surveys for December provide further evidence that the economy is in the midst of a slowdown. But the central bank will... 5th January 2023 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Brazil IPCA-15 (December 2022) The Brazilian mid-month inflation figure for December was unchanged from the November full-month figure of 5.9% y/y, which provides an early sign that the big falls in inflation have now happened and... 23rd December 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Bi-Weekly CPI (Dec.) The second consecutive fall in Mexico’s mid-month inflation, to 7.8% y/y in December, confirms that inflation is now on a downward trajectory. This will allow Banxico to draw its tightening cycle to a... 22nd December 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Industrial Production (Oct.) Mexico’s industrial sector posted a solid 0.4% m/m rise in output in October but the big picture is that industry has stagnated since the middle of this year. And while more timely survey indicators... 12th December 2022 · 3 mins read
Latin America Data Response Brazil IPCA (Nov. 2022) The further fall in Brazilian inflation, to 5.9% y/y, last month will help to ease the squeeze on household incomes. But with the prices of many core goods and services still rising rapidly and, more... 9th December 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Consumer Prices (Nov.) Mexico’s headline inflation rate continued to drop back to 7.8% y/y in November but this was driven by weaker non-core inflation; core inflation actually strengthened further. We now expect that... 8th December 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Brazil Industrial Production (Oct.) The better-than-expected 0.3% m/m rise in Brazilian industrial production in October only partly reversed the falls in output in the previous few months. And surveys suggest that the sector fared much... 2nd December 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Brazil GDP (Q3 2022) The weaker-than-expected Brazilian Q3 GDP growth figure, of 0.4% q/q, highlights that the weakening global economy and higher interest rates are bringing the recent period of strong growth to an end... 1st December 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Brazil & Mexico Bi-Weekly CPI (Nov.) The further fall in Mexico’s headline inflation rate, to 8.1% y/y, in the first two weeks of November was driven by easing non-core price pressures. But core inflation picked up, which will strengthen... 24th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Chile GDP (Q3) The 1.2% q/q contraction in Chile’s economy in Q3 was even steeper than expected and we think that the downturn has further to run – our forecasts is for the economy to contract by 1.3% over 2023 as a... 18th November 2022 · 3 mins read
Latin America Data Response Colombia GDP (Q3) The stronger-than-expected 1.6% q/q expansion in Colombia’s GDP in Q3 took output further above its pre-pandemic trend and means that Colombia is on course to be a regional outperformer in 2022. That... 15th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Brazil IPCA (Oct.) The fourth consecutive decline in Brazil’s inflation rate, to 6.5% y/y in October, will be welcomed by policymakers at the central bank. That said, inflation is still well above target and will stay... 10th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Mexico Consumer Prices (Oct.) Mexico’s headline inflation rate came in at a weaker-than-expected 8.4% y/y in October and, while this is unlikely to prevent Banxico from delivering another 75pb interest rate hike, to 10.00%... 9th November 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Brazil Industrial Production (Sep.) The 0.7% m/m decline in Brazilian industrial production in September suggests that the sector made a negative contribution to GDP growth over Q3 as a whole. With other sectors faring surprisingly well... 1st November 2022 · 2 mins read
Latin America Data Response Mexico GDP (Q3 Prov.) Provisional GDP figures show that Mexico’s economy expanded by a stronger-than-expected 1.0% q/q in Q3, but a recession in the US alongside tight fiscal and monetary policy mean that the economy will... 31st October 2022 · 2 mins read