Global Trade Monitor A strong end to a strong quarter for world trade The CPB’s latest figures confirm what other indicators had suggested – that world trade experienced fairly rapid growth in Q1. And the signs are that this momentum has spilled over into Q2, albeit at... 24th May 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade momentum carries over into Q2 Although the CPB’s latest figures suggest that world trade volumes fell in February, these estimates are often subject to hefty revisions, and the three-month average growth rate remains quite... 25th April 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor The world trade recovery continues in Q1 The latest data suggest that the recovery in world trade which appeared to take hold at the end of last year has continued in 2017. What’s more, the immediate outlook seems reasonably bright, with... 27th March 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Some encouraging signs? The latest data suggest that global trade growth picked up at the end of last year and business surveys suggest that it remained strong in January. What’s more, President Trump may be beginning to row... 24th February 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor American carnage? The pick-up in world trade in the last quarter of 2016 adds to the evidence that the global economy gained momentum late last year. But the key question is whether the new US administration will bring... 25th January 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Prospects for world trade still weak The latest data show that world trade fell in October, continuing the renewed slowdown since 2015. Looking ahead, while world trade is unlikely to collapse, it will probably remain sluggish for years... 22nd December 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Trade in the doldrums even before Trump victory The latest data show that global trade was more or less stagnant during the past few months. Looking ahead, President Trump is likely to take a tough line on trade negotiations and may well adopt... 25th November 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade still weak as Belgium blocks EU-Canada deal Notwithstanding one or two more positive signs, world trade remains in the doldrums. And the fact that the EU-Canada trade agreement may be scuppered by a regional Belgian government does not bode... 25th October 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Downturn easing, but outlook remains bleak The volume of world trade appears to have recovered a bit in the past few months.Even so, the prospects for global trade over the coming years remain poor, and couldworsen dramatically if Donald Trump... 22nd September 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade weakened in Q2 The latest available data show that the volume of world trade fell in Q2, although this does not seem to have dented global economic growth, which we estimate to have picked up from 2.1% annualised in... 24th August 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Prospects for world trade growth worsen The latest available data show that world trade, which has been pretty stagnant for the past eighteen months or so, remains depressed. And with the UK’s Brexit vote having further reduced the chances... 21st July 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Brexit not a major threat to world trade The latest data confirm that world trade remained depressed in March, in part reflecting the weakness of global manufacturing. With little prospect of significant trade liberalisation in the coming... 24th May 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade ticks up in February The latest available data show that the volume of world trade recovered in February, fully reversing its decline in January. While the outlook for growth in the volume of world trade is fairly bleak... 21st April 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Recovery in commodity prices to boost world trade values The volume of world trade contracted slightly at the start of the year and it is likely to remain sluggish in the coming months. However, the recovery in commodity prices, which we expect to continue... 24th March 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Will 2016 be a better year for world trade? With the exception of 2009, the value of world trade fell more sharply in dollar terms last year than in any other year during the past two decades. However, this was largely due to the slump in... 25th February 2016 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade still weak, but not collapsing The latest available data show that world trade growth slowed a bit further towards the end of 2015, but they do not point to a sharp downturn. What’s more, preliminary business surveys for January... 22nd January 2016 · 1 min read
