Global Trade Monitor Likely to lose momentum Although world trade growth has ticked up in recent months, we think that it will slow sharply in the coming year or so as global demand weakens. For now, it looks like tariffs under consideration... 25th October 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Further slowdown likely We expect the slowdown in world trade growth to continue next year as global demand weakens. Meanwhile, US-China trade tensions have risen – both countries imposed further tariffs on each other’s... 25th September 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Coming to a halt? The growth of world trade volumes seems to have stalled in the first half of the year. However, some more timely data and survey evidence suggest that it should pick up again in the second half of the... 24th August 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade losing momentum, but not collapsing World trade volumes rose in May but their underlying rate of growth dropped again. We continue to think that the evidence does not yet point to anything worse than a modest slowdown. 25th July 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade makes a partial recovery as tensions build The rebound in world trade volumes in April offers some reassurance that global trade has not collapsed. And while recent survey and “hard” data are giving some mixed signals about the near-term... 25th June 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Signs of slowdown not yet a major concern The latest data provide further evidence that the world economy has lost some momentum. Growth of world trade has softened significantly in recent months, mirroring the weakness in the purchasing... 25th May 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade growth holding up well (for now) Data published earlier today show that global trade was expanding rapidly in the three months ending in February. More timely business surveys suggest that it may have slowed since then, but they have... 25th April 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor And now for some good news on world trade On the same day the US and China exchanged fire in what is potentially the beginning of a trade war, data published by the CPB Netherlands Bureau show that world trade made a great start to 2018. And... 23rd March 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade carries over momentum into 2018 Global trade volumes grew by 4.5% in 2017 as a whole – the fastest rate of annual growth in five years, and faster than the 3.7% expansion in global GDP. Encouragingly, the signs are that world trade... 23rd February 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade thriving after Trump’s first year It will surely come as no surprise if President Donald Trump delivers another protectionist speech at Davos tomorrow. But his actions may continue to fall a long way short of his rhetoric. In any case... 25th January 2018 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade on track for a strong Q4 The latest CPB data suggest that world trade volumes held on to recent gains in September. Other indicators have been even more upbeat, and the signs are that trade is maintaining momentum in Q4. 24th November 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade strengthens while NAFTA talks sour The latest CPB data suggest that world trade volumes rebounded in August. Taking a range of indicators into account, the big picture is that the global trade recovery is still underway. 24th October 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade faring well in H2 The latest CPB data suggest that the recovery in world trade may have lost momentum. However, these data are at odds with a range of other, more upbeat indicators of global trade. And forward-looking... 25th September 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Trade momentum still strong, despite Trump The latest esimates of world trade volumes reinforce the impression that global trade has coninued to expand rapidly in recent months. What’s more, the most timely indicators of freight traffic and... 25th August 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade rebound in May bodes well for Q2 The latest CPB data add to evidence that April’s large drop in global trade volumes was a one-off – not the start of a marked downturn. Indeed, the signs are that world trade expanded fairly strongly... 25th July 2017 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade still doing well in Q2 Although the latest CPB data suggest that global trade growth slipped at the start of the second quarter, we doubt that this marks the start of a sustained downturn. Indeed, more timely evidence... 23rd June 2017 · 1 min read
