Global Trade Monitor A weak start to what will be a dreadful year for world trade Whilst the CPB world trade data showed another small drop in February, with lockdowns taking effect across much of the world in March, we expect much sharper falls in the coming months. In total, we... 24th April 2020 · 4 mins read
Global Trade Monitor Virus to reduce world trade by a fifth in 2020 The latest trade figures from the CPB revealed only a small fall in world trade volumes in January, but export orders from the PMI surveys have since slumped. With the coronavirus plunging the world... 25th March 2020 · 4 mins read
Global Trade Monitor Signs that COVID-19 disruption hitting global trade World trade volumes rose slightly in December in another sign that global trade was stabilising at the end of 2019. In the months since, early evidence suggests that the coronavirus has dealt a heavy... 25th February 2020 · 7 mins read
Global Trade Monitor World trade growth has probably reached a trough World trade volumes fell in November after a slight rise in October. But leading indicators suggest that a turnaround in global trade growth is just around the corner, though the recovery will be... 24th January 2020 · 6 mins read
Global Trade Monitor World trade may soon stabilise but no rebound in sight September’s fall in world trade volumes was a blow to hopes that the global economy may have reached a turning point. There are some signs of stabilisation in leading indicators of trade, and base... 26th November 2019 · 6 mins read
Global Trade Monitor Recent resilience unlikely to be sustained After a jump in July, world trade volumes rose again in August. But this is unlikely to be the start of a material recovery – indeed, most indicators point to subdued trade growth in the closing... 28th October 2019 · 7 mins read
Global Trade Monitor World trade still unlikely to grow at all this year While world trade volumes rebounded in July, they only recovered ground lost the previous month. The big picture is that world trade is set to remain weak in the coming months as the global industrial... 27th September 2019 · 6 mins read
Global Trade Monitor World trade slows further as US-China tensions ratchet up World trade volumes contracted again in the second quarter, and forward-looking indicators suggest that trade growth is likely to stay subdued, just as the US-China trade war is heating up again. 27th August 2019 · 6 mins read
Global Trade Monitor Global trade growth set to stabilise at subdued rate May’s small rise in world trade volumes added to evidence that trade growth may have begun to stabilise following the slump that began in Q4 last year. But we see little sign of a recovery coming any... 26th July 2019 · 6 mins read
Global Trade Monitor Hopes of stabilisation in world trade dashed again After rounding off a weak first quarter, world trade volumes fell in April. As the global economy slows further, world trade growth is likely to be sluggish, almost irrespective of developments in the... 25th June 2019 · 7 mins read
Global Trade Monitor Tentative signs of stabilisation in world trade World trade volumes contracted again in Q1. But just as trade tensions between the US and China are ratcheting up again, there are a few signs that the slowdown in world trade may be bottoming out. 24th May 2019 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Global trade volumes set to contract again in Q1 After a partial rebound at the start of the year, world trade volumes fell again in February – the fourth drop in six months. They look to have recovered a bit in March, and export orders in parts of... 26th April 2019 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade will struggle to grow this year The pick-up in world trade in January is little to cheer about. A partial rebound was always likely after the dreadful end to last year. Leading indicators suggest that world trade volumes will remain... 27th March 2019 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor World trade contracted most since financial crisis in Q4 World trade weakened much more than we had anticipated last year. As the global economy loses further momentum this year, world trade growth is likely to continue to be sluggish, regardless of whether... 7th March 2019 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Recent weakness a sign of things to come After ending 2018 on a very weak note, world trade growth is likely to slow this year as the global economy loses momentum. A slowdown in world trade is highly likely regardless of whether the US and... 28th January 2019 · 1 min read
Global Trade Monitor Further weakness on the horizon Having rounded off Q3 on a disappointing note, we think that world trade volumes will lose more momentum in the coming year or so as global demand weakens due to slowdowns in the US and China. A... 23rd November 2018 · 1 min read
