Global Inflation Watch Hitting the target? Average inflation in the G7 is likely be over 2% next year as the impact of past falls in energy prices fades. In the US, core inflation is already close to the target and will probably continue... 16th September 2016 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Low inflation to persist almost everywhere Headline inflation will rebound in many countries in the coming months as the effects of the slump in oil prices drop out of the annual comparison. But the era of very low inflation is likely to... 9th June 2016 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Inflation to rise rapidly in the US, but not elsewhere Headline inflation in most advanced economies should rise towards the end of this year, when the effects of the past slump in energy prices finally drop out of the annual comparison. Core inflation... 15th March 2016 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Inflation to rebound despite latest drop in oil prices Notwithstanding the renewed slump in oil prices, headline inflation is set to rise sharply in most advanced economies as last year’s much larger falls in energy costs drop out of the annual comparison... 15th December 2015 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Inflation set to rebound An increase in headline inflation is now “baked in the cake” for most economies. The effects of last year’s oil price slump are set to drop out of the annual comparison in the coming months and fears... 15th September 2015 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Oil price effect to unwind, but deflation risks persist Headline inflation looks certain to rebound sharply in most advanced economies during the coming months as the impact of last year’s oil price slump unwinds. Looking further ahead, faster wage growth... 12th June 2015 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Inflation to bounce back, but remain low Many advanced economies will experience several months of negative headline inflation this year as a result of the plunge in oil prices, but few are at risk of a prolonged or damaging bout of... 12th March 2015 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Inflation to plunge...temporarily The average inflation rate in the G7 is likely to fall to only around 1% next year because of the collapse in oil prices. A growing number of economies will experience a period of outright deflation... 11th December 2014 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Euro-zone and Japan yet to escape from deflation threat Six years after the onset of the global financial crisis, there is still a threat of deflation. The biggestworry is in the euro-zone, where inflation expectations have slipped and the ECB’s actions... 12th September 2014 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Threat of deflation lingering in euro-zone Inflation is likely to remain very low in most advanced economies during the coming year or two, despite a gradual acceleration of economic growth and continued ultra-loose monetary policy. The one... 12th June 2014 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Deflation still a bigger concern than inflation The global recovery appears to be strengthening, but we do not expect a generalised pick-up in inflation. In the US, core inflation may rise to 2% or more over the next two years as the economy... 11th March 2014 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Growing risks of deflation Ample spare capacity and further falls in commodity prices should contain price pressures for the foreseeable future, even in those countries which are now experiencing a strong recovery. Meanwhile... 13th December 2013 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Inflation to stay low even as the recovery picks up Inflation in most advanced economies is likely to remain at or below target for at least the next two years. GDP has accelerated in many countries, and has stabilised in the euro-zone, but it will be... 11th September 2013 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Inflation low and heading lower Average inflation in advanced economies fell to only 1.3% in April, its lowest rate since late 2009. Moreover, recent commodity price movements suggest that it will fall further during the coming... 13th June 2013 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Falling commodity prices to push inflation lower Average inflation in advanced economies was below 2% y/y in January and we expect it to decline further over the course of the year. Global demand should be fairly weak, not least due to the recession... 7th March 2013 · 1 min read
Global Inflation Watch Inflation risks still low We expect the major central banks to persist with ultra-loose monetary policy for at least two more years but inflation to remain at historically low levels. This is largely because global demand is... 19th December 2012 · 1 min read
