FX Markets Weekly Wrap Fed guidance could revive the rally in the US dollar The trade-weighted US dollar seems set to end the week a bit higher, reversing some of its recent decline. But the dollar strength has mostly been against G10 currencies; despite the fall in US... 21st January 2022 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap We do not expect the recent dollar weakness to last Despite several events in the US this week which would usually point to a stronger dollar – the highest US inflation print since the early 1980s, hawkish comments from both Chair Powell and Vice Chair... 14th January 2022 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Slow start to 2022 for FX markets ahead of US inflation Today’s US non-farm payrolls report had little impact on currency markets, with the dollar set to end the week broadly unchanged against most other currencies. This extends a pattern of low volatility... 7th January 2022 · 8 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Game of two halves ends with a whimper, not a bang This week’s much-anticipated round of central bank policy announcements made only limited impact on currency markets, which for the most part are broadly unchanged on the week. Indeed, despite the... 17th December 2021 · 8 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Diverging monetary policies may extend the USD rally Today’s US CPI data produced a relatively limited reaction in the US dollar, which is set to end the week a bit weaker against most major currencies. Attention now turns to the 17(!) central bank... 10th December 2021 · 10 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap FX markets likely to remain volatile into year-end After rallying to its highest level of the year last week, the US dollar seems set to end this week broadly unchanged. In our view, this reflects the offsetting effects of rising short-term yields in... 3rd December 2021 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap COVID throws another curveball News late yesterday of a new and potentially more dangerous variant of COVID-19 emerging in South Africa has made a dramatic impact on financial markets today. In general, market shifts have been... 26th November 2021 · 8 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Continued dollar rally looks increasingly likely The US dollar is set to end another week higher against nearly all major currencies. To a large extent, this latest rally appears to be driven by the rise in short-term government bond yields in the... 19th November 2021 · 8 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar rally may have further to run The US dollar has continued to grind higher against major currencies following the release of US inflation data on Wednesday, with the DXY index reaching its strongest level in over a year. Recent... 12th November 2021 · 11 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar rallies & sterling drops on confusing BoE messaging After another week of wild swings in short-term interest rate markets, the US dollar is ending the week stronger against most major currencies. On a trade-weighted basis it is now near its strongest... 5th November 2021 · 8 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Currencies stay mostly calm amid carnage in bond markets Currency markets remained remarkably stable for most of this week, although the US dollar is rallying sharply today on the back of data showing very strong wage growth in the US, even as a major... 29th October 2021 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap US dollar edges lower ahead of next round of CB meetings With a couple of exceptions, currency markets have had a quiet week; the US dollar is ending the week a touch weaker against most other currencies, but in aggregate it remains close to its strongest... 22nd October 2021 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap US dollar falls back as Treasury yields edge down The US dollar seems set to end the week lower against most currencies, as “risky” assets have rallied and US Treasury yields have edged down a bit. This fall back in the dollar and US yields is... 15th October 2021 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar rally loses steam following weak payrolls data Despite the rise in US Treasury yields this week, the US dollar reversed some of its recent gains after today’s labour market data were somewhat weaker than expected. But given strong wage growth, we... 8th October 2021 · 10 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Dollar continues to march higher ahead of October payrolls In another volatile week, the US dollar continued to appreciate against most other currencies, reaching its strongest level, in aggregate, since last November. In part, the greenback’s rally may have... 1st October 2021 · 9 mins read
FX Markets Weekly Wrap Hawkish Fed & China risks point to a stronger dollar In a choppy week dominated by some surprising central bank announcements and the ongoing uncertainty around China’s property sector, the US dollar continued to make some headway, especially against... 24th September 2021 · 8 mins read