Europe Rapid Response France early election, EU elections Support for the centrists has held up quite well in European elections but this was overshadowed by the jump in votes for the far-right in France and President Macron’s surprise decision to dissolve... 10th June 2024 · 3 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone Retail Sales (April 2024) Retail sales ticked down in April we expect them to rise gradually from here. 6th June 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Swiss CPI (May) Switzerland’s inflation rate remained at 1.4% in May as an increase in rents was offset by a further fall in core goods prices. With inflation in line with the SNB’s forecast published in March and... 4th June 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone HICP (May 2024) May’s increases in headline and core inflation – and jump in services inflation to a seven-month high – won’t stop the ECB from cutting interest rates next week. But another reduction in July now... 31st May 2024 · 3 mins read
Europe Rapid Response EC Survey (May) and Unemployment (April 2024) The EC business and consumer survey for May is consistent with weak growth in euro-zone GDP, while price pressures are still strong but are continuing to ease. Meanwhile, the unemployment rate ticked... 30th May 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Germany State CPI (May) CPI inflation data published by the major German states this morning suggest that both German and euro-zone HICP inflation may come in a bit lower than expected and that though core inflation rose... 29th May 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone Construction Output (March 2024) Euro-zone construction output rose slightly in March but we think the sector will struggle over the coming months. 21st May 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone GDP (Q1, 2nd est.), Employment and Industrial Production 15th May 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Sweden CPI (April) The small increase in the Riksbank’s target CPIF measure of inflation, which excludes the effect of changes in interest rates, from 2.2% in March to 2.3% in April, was broadly as expected (consensus 2... 15th May 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Swiss CPI (April) The jump in Switzerland’s inflation rate in April was largely due to increases in the volatile food and fuel components. While the data increase our confidence that the SNB will not cut interest rates... 2nd May 2024 · 1 min read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone GDP (Q1) and Flash HICP (April) Today’s stronger-than-expected Q1 GDP data means the euro-zone has come out of recession but, with core and services inflation both declining in April, this will not prevent the ECB from starting its... 30th April 2024 · 2 mins read
Europe Rapid Response Euro-zone National-level GDP (Q1 2024) The national-level data released so far this morning suggest that euro-zone GDP, which will be published in just under an hour, will show an expansion of 0.3% q/q in Q1. 30th April 2024 · 1 min read
