Nordic & Swiss Economics Update Weaker euro-zone to stem Swiss recovery Switzerland’s low levels of public and private sector debt suggest that it will continue to out-grow the euro-zone over the next couple of years. But it will suffer from strong trade links with the... 19th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update W eaker euro-zone to stem Swiss recovery Switzerland’s low levels of public and private sector debt suggest that it will continue to out-grow the euro-zone over the next couple of years. But it will suffer from strong trade links with the... 19th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Iberian economies still facing an uphill struggle The bold measures announced by European policymakers at the weekend may have reduced the chance of financial market meltdown. But this does not change our fundamental view that the Iberian Peninsula... 11th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update EU package does not address broader economic problems The bolder than anticipated announcement of up to €750bn in loans and guarantees for euro-zone governments together with ECB government bond purchases hopefully reduces the immediate risk of financial... 10th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update ECB trying to provide reassurance The ECB is trying to inject calm amid the fiscal turmoil, maintaining a dovish stance after leaving interest rates at 1%. Some might have been disappointed that there were no hints of further... 6th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Will the ECB be forced to adopt QE? With the impending bailout failing to reduce Greek bond yields and concerns spreading to other peripheral economies, some have suggested that the ECB might yet step in and buy government bonds itself... 6th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Can Italy stay beneath the markets’ radar? Despite having the highest level of government debt in the euro-zone, Italy has so far been largely untouched by the growing contagion effects of the Greek fiscal crisis. But there is no room for... 6th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Greece - crisis averted, for now at least With the joint euro-zone/IMF fiscal lifeline increasingly likely to be in place in a matter of days, the possibility of a near-term Greek funding crisis has been greatly reduced. But with government... 4th May 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Does Greece really have a silver lining? Recent falls in the euro and euro-zone bond yields, coupled with stronger economic data from the core economies, has led to suggestions that the Greek crisis might have a silver lining. But we find it... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Is Greece the next Lehmans? The crisis in Greece could pose as big a risk to the global economy and financial markets as the collapse of Lehman Brothers did in September 2008. In some respects the wider fall-out might even be... 28th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Greece still dangling from a precipice With considerable uncertainties over when the joint IMF/euro-zone rescue package for Greece will be implemented, Greece is still dangling from a precipice. If Europe is to pull Greece back up it will... 27th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Greece on a knife edge Greece is in the midst of another hellish week and now faces no choice but to seek to formally activate the European rescue package. While this may help to ease the markets’ frazzled nerves, the... 22nd April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Volcanic eruption won’t prompt economic meltdown Worries are growing that the paralysis of European air travel, caused by the volcanic eruption in Iceland, could have a damaging impact on European recovery prospects. But while there is no doubt that... 19th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Could a banking crisis add to Greek woes? Greek bond yields have continued to surge as doubts remain over whether the euro-zone will actually be able to provide financial support to Greece. But a growing worry is that the ongoing crisis... 15th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update Portugal warnings underline broader fiscal problems The European Commission’s warnings about Portugal’s budget plans are a timely reminder that the euro-zone’s fiscal crisis extends well beyond Greece. 14th April 2010 · 1 min read
Europe Economics Update The broader implications of the Greek bail-out Opinions on the broader implications of the Greek rescue package for the future of the euro-zone not surprisingly differ widely. But the conditions that made the bail-out necessary will have a... 14th April 2010 · 1 min read