Nordic & Swiss Data Response Manufacturing PMIs (Oct.) & Swiss Retail Sales (Sep.) October’s manufacturing PMIs generally painted a positive picture of economic growth.But the surveys’ price indices suggest that inflationary pressures vary across the region. 1st November 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone GDP (Q3 Prel. Flash) & CPI (Oct.) The preliminary flash estimate of euro-zone Q3 GDP supports the message from earlier country data that the pace of growth remains fairly slow. So it is no surprise that October’s inflation data show... 31st October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Flash CPI (Oct.) October’s rise in German HICP inflation to +0.7% suggests that euro-zone inflation in the same month rose to its highest level since April 2014. But in Germany at least, the rise reflected energy... 28th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response EC Business & Consumer Survey (Oct.) October’s rise in the EC measure of economic sentiment supports the message from the PMI that euro-zone growth accelerated towards the end of the year, albeit with continued divergence across... 28th October 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swiss KOF Economic Barometer (Oct.) October’s rise in the Swiss KOF Economic Barometer suggests that GDP growth could accelerate in the near term. But with the full effects of the franc’s strength yet to be felt and deflation risks... 28th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response France, Spain & Austria GDP (Q3, 1st est.) Provisional Q3 GDP data from France and Spain support the message from the business surveys that euro-zone GDP continued to increase at a pretty slow pace. And there are clear signs that the French... 28th October 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Iceland Consumer Prices (Oct.) Headline Icelandic inflation was stable in October and the core rate fell slightly. But with the economy continuing to strengthen, we think that underlying inflation will pick up in the coming months. 27th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German Ifo Survey (Oct.) October’s increase in the German Ifo Business Climate Indicator (BCI) adds to a recent run of positive news about the economy. Germany looks set to easily outperform the euro-zone average this year... 25th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash PMIs (Oct.) The rise in the euro-zone Composite PMI to a ten-month high suggests that GDP growth may have picked up at the start of Q4. Nevertheless, there is a concerning divergence in conditions between the... 24th October 2016 · 1 min read
Nordic & Swiss Data Response Swedish Labour Force Survey (Sep.) September’s Swedish Labour Force Survey confirmed that the previous month’s poorresults were a one-off and highlights the tightness of the labour market. With firms’hiring intentions picking up in... 20th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Trade (Aug.) The euro-zone’s goods trade surplus rose in August, but it probably fell over Q3 as a whole. Looking ahead, we think that the trade surplus will narrow further this year as global demand growth... 14th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Industrial Production (Aug.) The sharp rise in euro-zone industrial production in August suggests that the sectorprovided a positive, albeit small, boost to GDP growth in Q3. However, industry isunlikely to be able to prevent the... 12th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German ZEW Survey (Oct.) October’s rise in the ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment is broadly encouraging, although the index still points to a slowdown in German GDP growth. 11th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response German, French & Spanish Industrial Production (Aug.) Sharp rises in industrial production in Germany, France and Spain suggest that industry might contribute positively to euro-zone GDP growth in Q3. 7th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Retail Sales (Aug.) & Final PMIs (Sep. 16) August’s data suggest that euro-zone retail sales growth picked up in Q3, whileSeptember’s Composite PMI implies that growth in the wider economy slowedonly slightly. But headline inflation will soon... 5th October 2016 · 1 min read
Europe Data Response Euro-zone Flash CPI (Sep.) & Unemployment (Aug.) Headline inflation in the euro-zone has started to pick up as the effects of previous falls in energy prices fade. But with a large amount of slack in the labour market, underlying price pressures... 30th September 2016 · 1 min read